TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $70 in July?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes32c23,792$7,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,557.0235123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x751a…9ea1backed No72c11,892$8,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.085662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…aababacked Yes9c8,300$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7775425.9%14 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick11cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes33c5,211$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.4763835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes39c4,660$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.0913117.6%23 W · 108 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x027e…c97fbacked No58c3,669$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.714522.2%10 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06dc…4524backed No70c3,466$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.116253.7%87 W · 75 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No57c2,608$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.9729126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes42c2,487$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.621030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd1e…862ebacked No60c2,133$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.37425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-58.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827e…554bbacked Yes25c1,505$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-68.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes21c1,202$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.851,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes3c1,200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22126.6%14 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick6cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00a…6c87backed No64c922.15$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa813…04fbbacked No68c906.97$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.359964.6%64 W · 35 L+17.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x65d4…b7e3backed No71c866.2$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.181888.9%16 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcaac…c198backed Yes53c758.65$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.012479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf04…11e3backed Yes14c727.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+151.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…fbecbacked No52c699.99$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.995747.4%27 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes45c698.87$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.491040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No60c654.12$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.831190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdba4…6977backed Yes19c582.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc36…4ef7backed Yes35c537.08$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd4…5707backed Yes29c507.95$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No73c498.07$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.076250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6cf…d77ebacked No65c473.42$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a75…7d66backed No75c467.93$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.26850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes3c450.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351970%0 W · 197 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…99e7backed No72c448.6$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.641586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd03b…042bbacked No56c426.07$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.153740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f0c…47acbacked No61c419.91$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…1507backed No73c412$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.38977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d0…b4babacked No62c354.51$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+156.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7558…2d70backed Yes17c346.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601105.5%6 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb51…0e0ebacked Yes30c314.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ded…31ffbacked No48c310.25$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0408…856bbacked No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1944…c05dbacked No56c267.62$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.314969.4%34 W · 15 L+8.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb357…a4aebacked No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df8…8e9dbacked Yes39c260.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.750%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1047…0d63backed Yes41c250$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10260%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d77…b4babacked No65c244.41$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21bc…4681backed No78c240.09$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf558…77f4backed No71c234.71$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…14d7backed Yes41c231.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9fc…0adebacked Yes25c219.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7970%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes45c216.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.178467.9%57 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc31d…f997backed No73c209.22$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd318…b5c7backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f02…0b2ebacked No65c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714673.9%34 W · 12 L+9.4wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1264…31e5backed No71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed No74c193.2$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.711546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed Yes53c189.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021651.4%111 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9939…ab78backed No50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b7…d7b9backed Yes7c161.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9850%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb6…cc67backed Yes30c150.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2990%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Yes31c142.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaea…90bcbacked No58c140.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes26c138.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9512722%28 W · 99 L-19.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd097…e127backed No70c134.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4450…086cbacked No77c117.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.311080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e7…f753backed No71c108.7$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1138…7743backed No50c107.42$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04fc…e190backed No58c102.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d77…89f5backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-68.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb5…4d50backed Yes46c98.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1508backed No62c97.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x572f…8c85backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeac8…9e4ebacked No75c89.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.749100%9 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd35d…ec11backed Yes47c85.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d17…eabdbacked No67c82.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf45f…dbfdbacked No59c74.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Yes27c72.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7670%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…9ad3backed Yes41c70.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62f…413ebacked No75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7585…269fbacked No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes30c64.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc251…a5d3backed No64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf7…afa8backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb119…680bbacked No61c57.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0950…4b03backed No73c57.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes28c53.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14190%0 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c29…7371backed Yes43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a1…3201backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3f…2591backed Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No60c49.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.762814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x134e…d718backed No59c45.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73083.3%25 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes37c44.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-60.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6f…be20backed Yes35c44.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51910.5%2 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f11…23c0backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No67c41.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbff…3784backed No51c40.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c7b…0f76backed No72c40.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76b…ad7fbacked Yes49c38.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef7…e657backed Yes29c36.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No72c35.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.