TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65d4…b7e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 58 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2475%18 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Over $20M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $15M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$612.93
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$411.94
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$62.44
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$180.23
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.37
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.79
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$96.88
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$210.85
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$132.75
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$291.73
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.4%+$858
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+45%+$134.97
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.7%+$51.46
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+39.2%+$235.13
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+168.6%+$1,179.59
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$107.24
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$247.54
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2378.3%18 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$243.61
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$118.01
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$274.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$210.03
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$296.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$274.58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$94.82
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$147.5
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$101.16
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$36.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$78.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$164.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$136.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$48.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.4%+$220.72
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$81
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.1%+$170.75
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1888.9%16 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$250.18
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,829Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$625.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$65.84
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$142.67
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$214.73
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$69.89
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$80.16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$202.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$569.17
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$91.73
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$125.08
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.3%+$341.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$291.21
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$144.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+45.2%+$135.66
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.2%+$87.56
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+41.9%+$6.07
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.3%+$98.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+32.7%+$89.01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$128.4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$63.3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$345
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+234.8%+$350.94
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$218.96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$132.87
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$140.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$76.75
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.31
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$53.07
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$302.76
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$74.25
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$138.57
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$800.2
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$250
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$457.05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$83.36
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$148.9
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$150.13
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+65.4%+$1,867.44
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.7%+$2,085.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$70.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,849Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,713.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.