Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c8bd96ef1c9793e41acce48478201f639b6ca6bc86fbbe8ba7506c3a431f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 67c | 5,482$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.13 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…b99abacked No | 9c | 3,333$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +277.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 60c | 1,680$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 79c | 1,552$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 61c | 1,362$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,066$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…3929backed Yes | 39c | 1,059$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 24c | 1,056$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 26c | 1,042$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.93 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed No | 20c | 999.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 20c | 813.55$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 55c | 758$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 54c | 731.67$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.02 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed No | 62c | 716$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.92 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…d030backed Yes | 14c | 691.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.87 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Yes | 40c | 660$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed Yes | 40c | 613$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 16c | 589$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…3c8ebacked Yes | 16c | 584$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 16c | 542$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 58c | 513.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…31b6backed Yes | 63c | 512.16$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 478.15$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 7c | 470$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…9d90backed Yes | 53c | 469.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 22c | 457.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 39c | 435$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed No | 23c | 407.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…d368backed Yes | 40c | 407$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed No | 23c | 384.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed No | 55c | 308$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…5bfabacked No | 7c | 290.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…488dbacked No | 60c | 280.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 6c | 264.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed Yes | 76c | 262.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed Yes | 79c | 253.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Yes | 38c | 249$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 38c | 245$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 80c | 225.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 61cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 38c | 222$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed No | 61c | 220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 41c | 219$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 217.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 77c | 211$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 59c | 203.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…96aebacked Yes | 16c | 187.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 12c | 172.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +189%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Yes | 40c | 161.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 17c | 144.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…faf6backed Yes | 27c | 126.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 64c | 121.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…22e4backed Yes | 75c | 110.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…77b6backed Yes | 11c | 107.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +775%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…c88bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked No | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed Yes | 41c | 93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 57c | 91.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…d377backed No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…ca9ebacked No | 75c | 89.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Yes | 39c | 88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…60b6backed Yes | 53c | 85.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 32c | 84.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…b243backed Yes | 15c | 80.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +547.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 70.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…260fbacked No | 22c | 67.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…ef93backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d8…8082backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 22c | 59.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…5568backed Yes | 51c | 57.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 57.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 41c | 54.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 50.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ead…14f8backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Yes | 49c | 49.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…5ff2backed Yes | 42c | 47.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…3637backed Yes | 44c | 45.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…99f7backed No | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 57c | 41.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 65c | 37.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed Yes | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…f7e5backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…33d3backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 43c | 26.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…5387backed No | 51c | 26.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 146 | 9.6%14 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…ec29backed Yes | 55c | 23.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in April 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.