Token Launches · resolved market
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b1ae161af406a54bfce016e3ba51e479fec8bec3537f1ef8028011f5b6295c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 66c | 22,443$14,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,683.4 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…85e1backed Yes | 34c | 9,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 23c | 3,090$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.44 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 31c | 2,925$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.78 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…f598backed Yes | 42c | 2,723$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 39c | 2,684$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.39 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 22c | 2,216$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.18 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 69c | 2,125$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.83 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9af6backed Yes | 46c | 2,099$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.32 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 28c | 1,988$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…7ac4backed Yes | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 3c | 1,593$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…7af0backed Yes | 7c | 1,512$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 18c | 1,504$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.13 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cce…af8cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,394$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 21c | 1,301$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 76c | 1,288$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.77 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 25c | 1,248$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed Yes | 29c | 1,239$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 21c | 1,228$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.15 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…1b0abacked Yes | 8c | 1,186$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…ad5bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,078$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 999.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 65c | 902.58$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.21 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 23c | 891.62$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.62 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 847.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 23c | 823.93$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…3f04backed No | 72c | 783.74$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 28c | 740$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…e400backed Yes | 17c | 737.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 7c | 736.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 720.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 10c | 700.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…d4a7backed Yes | 16c | 700$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 3c | 699.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…2b7cbacked Yes | 47c | 691.25$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 15c | 623.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…0975backed Yes | 47c | 623.05$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…7670backed Yes | 47c | 619.32$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 8c | 618.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…708ebacked Yes | 4c | 611.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 65c | 600.47$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…6cc6backed No | 63c | 596.53$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.19 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 46c | 556.81$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 7c | 515.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 3c | 494.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf297…2c03backed Yes | 41c | 470.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…631dbacked Yes | 5c | 461.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 69c | 424.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked Yes | 25c | 419.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 14c | 400.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 21cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…e11fbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 62c | 382.23$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…354ebacked Yes | 3c | 371.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 8c | 359.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 13c | 351.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…c935backed Yes | 24c | 325.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 77c | 313.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 5c | 311.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 4c | 299.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 22c | 298.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 250.21$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…db3dbacked Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 40c | 249.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 67c | 247.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 46c | 215.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 6c | 214.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 212.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…97afbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e91…6cdfbacked Yes | 36c | 194.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…c026backed Yes | 43c | 189.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 13c | 187.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed Yes | 27c | 181.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 181.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 36c | 162.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…5765backed Yes | 34c | 145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 38c | 144.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 36c | 126.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 125.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…1f2cbacked No | 80c | 123.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…ae2cbacked No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 12c | 115.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 114.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…9362backed Yes | 10c | 110.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +93%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a062backed Yes | 37c | 105.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…ebc6backed Yes | 17c | 104.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…0af6backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…6eeabacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed Yes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed Yes | 36c | 99.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked Yes | 28c | 95.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f87…83c1backed No | 79c | 90.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.