Token Launches · resolved market
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b3070e0d0c298d3ac4f48e8ed03dcb7c6453974ed765e36ecfdc84440b074d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 75c | 8,011$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.98 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 22c | 5,252$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.86 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 24c | 2,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 23c | 1,630$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 76c | 1,612$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.72 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9af6backed Yes | 38c | 1,535$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 12c | 1,437$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 3c | 1,396$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 77c | 1,261$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.73 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 1,005$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 4c | 953.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…7af0backed Yes | 11c | 905.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 76c | 869.63$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 10c | 837.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…5901backed Yes | 20c | 829.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…9362backed Yes | 9c | 808.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +93%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…431ebacked Yes | 22c | 771.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 730.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 3c | 714.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 19c | 706.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 32c | 697.79$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.78 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 17c | 582.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…708ebacked Yes | 5c | 580.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 9c | 555.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…26b5backed Yes | 21c | 546.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 17c | 506.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 79c | 462.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed Yes | 23c | 438.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 405.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked No | 49c | 391.57$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…9592backed No | 62c | 383.37$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 79c | 374.52$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 79c | 374.52$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…518abacked No | 79c | 374.52$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +485.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…c935backed Yes | 20c | 355.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 77c | 347.85$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 42c | 329.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked No | 74c | 315.25$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…8858backed No | 80c | 300.51$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 300.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…46b8backed Yes | 33c | 294.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 38c | 289.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed No | 39c | 287.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 76c | 249.92$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed Yes | 18c | 242.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…7c70backed Yes | 43c | 227.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…5780backed No | 74c | 222.31$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…97afbacked Yes | 13c | 220.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 32c | 216.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…d4a7backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 67c | 199.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a062backed Yes | 20c | 195.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…49d4backed Yes | 52c | 185.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 21c | 178.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 61c | 158.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…086cbacked No | 76c | 155.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 149.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 10c | 145.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 56c | 133.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4322…9dd9backed No | 70c | 132.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 127.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 68c | 126.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 58c | 121.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 15c | 111.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 52c | 110.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…0af6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…6eeabacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…3b42backed No | 73c | 94.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed Yes | 16c | 92.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 26c | 75.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed No | 74c | 66.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…ce60backed No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 31c | 63.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…2497backed Yes | 25c | 59.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 20c | 59.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 57c | 58.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 25c | 52.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 78c | 41.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…0ffdbacked No | 79c | 35.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed No | 79c | 33.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…3126backed No | 73c | 30.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…aab8backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…22c9backed No | 79c | 17.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.