Token Launches · resolved market
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc93db2b2f69d2124c0042755b3789315b9dbf9dbdfc4d6bd1680e5875fa79b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 13c | 27,347$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.39 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 11c | 19,660$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.71 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…1450backed No | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 74c | 7,826$5,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.23 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 80c | 6,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 19c | 5,201$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.16 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 17c | 5,005$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.48 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 28c | 4,997$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.09 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 19c | 4,748$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.33 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 25c | 4,368$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 16c | 3,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 20c | 2,967$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.31 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…8cb6backed No | 21c | 2,261$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 2,039$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…94d5backed Yes | 67c | 1,747$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed Yes | 75c | 1,435$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.37 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 17c | 1,405$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 75c | 1,369$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.58 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8backed No | 17c | 1,259$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.22 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +17.9wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 15c | 1,199$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 14c | 1,101$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed No | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked No | 21c | 709.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…135dbacked No | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 18c | 597.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 14c | 592.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 580.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed No | 16c | 572.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 19c | 494.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…e5c6backed Yes | 76c | 488.04$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…9635backed No | 20c | 469.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 13c | 449.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 3c | 434.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 78c | 417.42$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…2fddbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a062backed Yes | 75c | 392.87$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…63c3backed No | 16c | 371.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8a…91f0backed No | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…81cfbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked No | 14c | 297.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked No | 34c | 296.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 9c | 251.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 16c | 250.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 70c | 247.1$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed No | 26c | 240$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…0334backed No | 15c | 219.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…e0debacked No | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…b5acbacked No | 17c | 199.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 30c | 195.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…841dbacked No | 19c | 179.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…296dbacked No | 16c | 149.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked No | 22c | 139.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…076dbacked Yes | 74c | 132.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 20c | 129.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…f468backed No | 18c | 127.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…7f2dbacked Yes | 78c | 126.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…49d4backed Yes | 79c | 125.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…3e65backed No | 16c | 123.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…530cbacked No | 19c | 121.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…e7b4backed No | 33c | 118.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…c2b0backed No | 15c | 106.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…e387backed Yes | 80c | 99.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…3b19backed No | 13c | 99.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f87…83c1backed No | 16c | 99.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…3394backed No | 16c | 99.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…459fbacked Yes | 78c | 88.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…2ed6backed No | 15c | 88.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked No | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…dbcabacked Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked No | 22c | 69.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 74c | 66.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 65.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a40…1214backed No | 25c | 50.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…e4b4backed Yes | 75c | 40.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…0bdabacked Yes | 69c | 37.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…20eebacked Yes | 74c | 35.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…3edabacked No | 35c | 33.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9081backed Yes | 49c | 32.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.