Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248a6868ccfdc16c90e511e6c277c6c4d0abfee46503be483f9097620b1985ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 20c | 12,755$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.36 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…0371backed Yes | 25c | 8,130$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 76c | 7,126$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 2c | 5,802$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 16c | 5,005$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 10c | 4,323$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.79 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 13c | 4,015$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.39 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 17c | 3,614$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.36 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…f7b7backed Yes | 9c | 3,058$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 79c | 2,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.79 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c6f1backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Yes | 21c | 2,311$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…5319backed Yes | 30c | 2,015$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,829$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 76c | 1,400$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.61 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,299$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…7632backed Yes | 35c | 1,296$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,174$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…8d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Yes | 26c | 995.5$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…0230backed No | 59c | 973.76$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 941.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 11c | 929.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked No | 58c | 918.16$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…15a6backed Yes | 10c | 901.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 57c | 879.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 69c | 862.84$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 3c | 789.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…70eebacked Yes | 37c | 785.54$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 29c | 721.55$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 2c | 700.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed No | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 682.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 9c | 642.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 566.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc962…7f10backed Yes | 14c | 565.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 3c | 551.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 7c | 537.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e81…a133backed Yes | 36c | 465.66$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 7c | 454.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…22c8backed No | 65c | 415.01$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed No | 65c | 385$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…4fa1backed Yes | 14c | 375$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 3c | 370$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked No | 69c | 318$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 77c | 310.38$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1d22backed Yes | 28c | 305.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…c9a2backed Yes | 9c | 290$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 9c | 285.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…8fd4backed No | 72c | 244.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 23c | 244.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…73b2backed Yes | 9c | 234.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…cfc5backed Yes | 43c | 231.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 230.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2c…bd80backed Yes | 28c | 213.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…cd4ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8703…dbf1backed No | 73c | 194.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231b…aaf0backed Yes | 6c | 190.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9147backed Yes | 13c | 189.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 37c | 188.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…5ba3backed Yes | 6c | 183.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +1,983.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…b0a6backed Yes | 57c | 175.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 168.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acf…e680backed No | 77c | 142.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 73c | 137.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…b330backed No | 75c | 132.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…78dfbacked Yes | 31c | 128.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 33c | 125.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…1193backed Yes | 19c | 120.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9903…9004backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed No | 80c | 119.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…6aeebacked Yes | 13c | 118.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…e918backed Yes | 17c | 117.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…0abfbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…d255backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…69dbbacked Yes | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…fc4abacked No | 62c | 100.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…9c11backed Yes | 11c | 100.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…a901backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7329backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…b497backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…a7b4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…281bbacked Yes | 12c | 99.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 26c | 95.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…88fdbacked Yes | 31c | 95.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…8053backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 19c | 83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…4f03backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 68.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x361d…51f0backed Yes | 30c | 59.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4f…848fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Yes | 25c | 50.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in February?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in February?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in February?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.