TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa372…88fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+308.6%+$102.71
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+289.6%+$52.03
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$49.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.35
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+83.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.67
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+161.2%+$43.2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.49
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.8%+$417.9
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+64.7%+$51.05
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+200.7%+$55.41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+195.4%+$69.89
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80.97
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+350.4%+$149.22
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+279.2%+$110
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+321.1%+$253.06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+371.6%+$281.74
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+129.1%+$64.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$40.9
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.14
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.16
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.5%+$75.13
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.51
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+67%+$92.29
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.5%+$117.1
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+139.8%+$134.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+319.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+319.6%+$67.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+244.4%+$109.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+173.2%+$38.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+121.6%+$164.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$136.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.