AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3bb50c6b047fcc2d3013bfd429476a63d7ae0ce8f990fd287fd88d9c9259702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 9,564$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked No | 1c | 9,477$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Yes | 73c | 8,869$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 23c | 7,831$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.48 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…04f5backed No | 0c | 7,083$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 46c | 6,837$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.62 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 4,086$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…69d5backed Yes | 74c | 4,035$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 56c | 3,773$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.98 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 18c | 3,018$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.38 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…9f23backed Yes | 78c | 2,893$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…61b5backed No | 15c | 2,885$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 2,154$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 2,101$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 2,100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…9525backed Yes | 72c | 2,085$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…6007backed No | 48c | 2,065$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed No | 17c | 2,059$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.25 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 13c | 1,647$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.83 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 23c | 1,600$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 25c | 1,595$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.87 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Yes | 79c | 1,551$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 41c | 1,510$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.34 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 44c | 1,384$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.75 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…4c57backed Yes | 61c | 1,311$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,224$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.19 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…a888backed Yes | 71c | 1,139$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.48 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 5c | 982.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 22c | 965.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.46 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…39f0backed Yes | 59c | 957$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 8c | 945.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 16c | 943.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.35 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 4c | 938.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 934.76$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 26c | 908.29$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 898.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 895.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.21 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 22c | 884.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 869.71$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 829.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 12c | 795$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…2e6ebacked Yes | 80c | 708.81$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +88%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3b83backed Yes | 75c | 685.62$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked No | 41c | 660$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6172…bb67backed Yes | 72c | 622.2$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +276.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a2…9f1ebacked Yes | 64c | 620.15$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 7c | 599.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.99 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…bf2bbacked Yes | 66c | 563.17$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 67c | 552.12$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 56c | 550$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 530.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…4dcebacked Yes | 77c | 526.52$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked No | 45c | 509.1$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 39c | 504.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b84…c76abacked Yes | 74c | 501.93$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 5c | 500.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 45c | 478.81$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 3c | 476.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…c655backed Yes | 79c | 474.78$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…447abacked Yes | 16c | 464.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 6c | 458.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 69c | 450$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Yes | 9c | 449.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 10cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…b81bbacked Yes | 72c | 434.76$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Yes | 74c | 433.48$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Yes | 64c | 431.73$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…29e9backed Yes | 72c | 425.57$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…04a7backed Yes | 73c | 424.41$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…b062backed Yes | 77c | 404.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 5c | 401.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…3afebacked No | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 26c | 400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes | 79c | 398.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…8a0dbacked Yes | 21c | 397.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…08a4backed Yes | 69c | 381.74$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed Yes | 60c | 377$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 40c | 372.12$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 66c | 370.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Yes | 41c | 370$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…6d3abacked No | 28c | 366.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 20c | 340.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…cf02backed Yes | 71c | 338.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 9c | 336.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…1aa6backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…1326backed Yes | 62c | 322.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 64c | 313.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed No | 20c | 308$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 44c | 306.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 59c | 300.03$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 298.53$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Yes | 21c | 297$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 12c | 292.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed Yes | 52c | 287.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 52c | 282.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…8487backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 50c | 280.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?this page
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.