AI · resolved market
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bf8c7a9e19eac180f1f69d74024841d09a782eb1e7e6f6b7f0e7223d2f778a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,323,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,154,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,323,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa616…527dbacked No | 1c | 250,775$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 2c | 174,303$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.64 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…781fbacked Yes | 35c | 108,844$38,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,417.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 1c | 87,277$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…3364backed No | 65c | 75,728$49,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,223.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…4b4bbacked No | 1c | 69,585$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked No | 1c | 57,787$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…d7cebacked No | 1c | 40,350$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…3b6bbacked No | 1c | 33,293$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…bba9backed No | 64c | 33,116$21,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,194.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 0c | 32,880$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 3c | 30,207$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.68 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…3b90backed No | 1c | 27,452$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb823…fb56backed No | 1c | 26,251$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…a713backed No | 1c | 24,382$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed No | 15c | 22,060$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…05c8backed No | 0c | 21,770$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…a781backed No | 1c | 19,580$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a8…3c3cbacked No | 1c | 18,203$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b45…3cbebacked No | 0c | 17,639$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…90a1backed No | 1c | 17,382$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…183fbacked No | 1c | 15,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…ed58backed No | 11c | 14,974$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 7c | 14,865$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 2c | 13,259$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…ab59backed No | 7c | 13,075$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 25c | 12,719$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,509.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed No | 1c | 12,600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…2877backed No | 1c | 11,600$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed No | 1c | 10,598$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…9841backed No | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…8ffdbacked No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f9…a5a6backed No | 1c | 9,541$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 9,528$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…d380backed No | 1c | 9,072$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa778…7f82backed No | 1c | 8,796$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…d720backed No | 6c | 8,554$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…054dbacked No | 9c | 7,874$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…a3a2backed No | 2c | 7,817$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…33cebacked No | 1c | 7,777$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…17a0backed No | 2c | 7,723$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…b94fbacked No | 1c | 7,044$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…8775backed No | 2c | 6,853$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 6,838$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 30c | 6,815$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 6,690$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.16 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…4254backed No | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…ad32backed No | 1c | 6,340$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 75c | 6,212$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…2851backed No | 1c | 6,167$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…4660backed No | 4c | 6,109$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 0c | 5,627$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 73c | 5,612$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.16 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…3976backed No | 1c | 4,871$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked No | 3c | 4,656$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked Yes | 20c | 4,430$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.73 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 2c | 4,405$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 37c | 4,209$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.84 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 28c | 4,064$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.61 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…26adbacked No | 1c | 3,935$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…3f0cbacked No | 1c | 3,903$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…fea2backed No | 2c | 3,869$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 4c | 3,788$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 77c | 3,621$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.97 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1a4dbacked No | 3c | 3,581$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed No | 4c | 3,517$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed No | 1c | 3,492$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…3398backed No | 1c | 3,485$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 30c | 3,127$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 1c | 3,067$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked No | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…24a5backed No | 4c | 2,970$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 27c | 2,949$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.44 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…b7acbacked No | 1c | 2,884$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 72c | 2,871$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 71c | 2,847$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.78 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 4c | 2,845$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 33c | 2,840$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.96 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…e430backed No | 3c | 2,747$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8be6backed No | 4c | 2,731$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,639$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…0c67backed No | 1c | 2,561$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…fe67backed No | 8c | 2,512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…252ebacked No | 1c | 2,506$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…4383backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e51bbacked No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…fe06backed No | 4c | 2,474$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e819backed No | 2c | 2,422$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 60c | 2,420$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.78 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d4…0fedbacked No | 4c | 2,410$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…57f7backed No | 1c | 2,386$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…4bbebacked No | 1c | 2,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…7c74backed No | 7c | 2,280$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…f351backed Yes | 13c | 2,280$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…29dfbacked No | 1c | 2,143$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d69…03cbbacked No | 1c | 2,116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 2c | 2,061$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…c87dbacked No | 1c | 2,039$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cff…1c15backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.