TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e24…8266

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT15135.1%53 W · 98 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$95
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.49
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.99
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.43
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.02
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+419.5%+$807.48
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$379.98
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.49
LoL: Blue Otter vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
LoL: Blue Otter vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$359.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+468.6%+$700.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$237
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+67.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+568.6%+$590.2
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,685.7%+$472
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$117.03
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.05
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.8
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.58
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+287.9%+$92.78
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.44
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$363.94
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 80% and 85%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$13.2
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.45
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$44.4
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.99
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+226.2%+$64.47
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.68
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Prince Andrew released by February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.9%+$44.07
Prince Andrew released by February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.69
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$111.01
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$232.68
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$137.47
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.54
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.66
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.75
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,271.67
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,756.7
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$605.69
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56.58
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$802.03
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.75
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$229.43
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$118.84
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+178%+$262.36
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+105.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$613.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.25
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+290.6%+$372
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.99
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,215.8%+$462
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$495.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-65.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Steven Elliott be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.56
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.59
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$24.26
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$28.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+159.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+39.9%+$11.4
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google dip to $285 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.