Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9cec83f126fe719234360176ec90d6e9ddf7738dd18fc24591acfa4ffeb438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,493$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.3 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 78c | 1,116$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 41c | 476.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 55c | 460.51$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…ed0fbacked Yes | 21c | 329.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 19c | 285.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 266.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 80c | 248$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 25c | 246.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 220$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 33c | 219.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 19c | 198.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 185$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 181.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 159.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 18c | 149.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…679ebacked Yes | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 111.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 23c | 110.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 41c | 107$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…db35backed Yes | 29c | 105.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 22c | 98.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 66c | 90.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 22c | 82.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed Yes | 25c | 81.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Yes | 27c | 76.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…a81ebacked Yes | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 56c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fc33backed Yes | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 65.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 53c | 60.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 54.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6b…9c50backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…0f6ebacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 79c | 49.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…f0fcbacked Yes | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked No | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 72c | 32.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 30.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Charlie Hermosa win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Douglas Moylan win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.