Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ff7789989688f99810a16020072cadd8cc7770a1912045f5db08c13fc32382

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,297 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes	47c	2,723$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,454.18	228	33.8%77 W · 151 L	+13.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes	58c	2,014$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847.56	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	53c	1,783$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.18	196	43.4%85 W · 111 L	+15.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed Yes	70c	900$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8604…fd3abacked Yes	60c	559.38$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.8	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa095…6040backed Yes	27c	443.23$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.42	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes	66c	313.26$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.51	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed No	28c	289.07$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.56	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Yes	65c	271.31$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.85	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed Yes	57c	269.48$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.88	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	37c	256.15$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.42	131	43.5%57 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	47c	251.71$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.16	334	21.9%73 W · 261 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	57c	223.17$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.72	122	31.1%38 W · 84 L	-9.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	59c	213$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.67	73	26%19 W · 54 L	-10.6wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-39%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	76c	211.9$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.13	248	31%77 W · 171 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae0…b747backed Yes	61c	209.27$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.15	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	27c	206$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	171	40.4%69 W · 102 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes	65c	200$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.5	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	75c	195.48$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.87	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	68c	193.1$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.02	100	34%34 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No	28c	179$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9c…be4dbacked Yes	29c	167$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.34	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	64c	153.73$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.69	332	38.6%128 W · 204 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	45c	151$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.82	135	46.7%63 W · 72 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	31c	142.73$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.12	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	75c	139.91$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.88	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	-8.4wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked No	58c	139$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.62	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	52c	132$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.64	449	35.2%158 W · 291 L	-37.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	75c	129$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.25	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	63c	121.96$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.47	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3167…679ebacked Yes	42c	118.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.13	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes	52c	107$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.89	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	45c	106.48$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.47	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f6a6backed No	59c	104.15$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.45	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce4…5f17backed No	50c	99.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	44c	95.9$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.88	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	38c	94.63$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.37	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	18c	92.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.91	100	48%48 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	67c	89.17$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.76	160	20.6%33 W · 127 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad30…d3c7backed No	58c	83.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No	60c	80$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-5.0wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2fc…e3ecbacked Yes	65c	77.98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.64	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	38c	77$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.41	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0306…a81ebacked Yes	45c	76$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	42c	74.26$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.56	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes	54c	72.8$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.18	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc24f…220bbacked Yes	55c	72.33$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.85	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540a…64c9backed No	38c	71.39$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.81	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed No	58c	70$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No	47c	69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.19	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed No	47c	69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.43	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58bb…a539backed No	58c	68.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x355d…1052backed No	59c	67.84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	67cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea91…b31dbacked No	59c	67.79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No	46c	66.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.55	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	124	40.3%50 W · 74 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No	59c	58.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82cd…d7d8backed No	60c	58$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41d…ebd5backed No	59c	57.43$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	26c	56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	183	10.4%19 W · 164 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67a7…1a68backed No	59c	55.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bef…3b06backed No	58c	55.14$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	57cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2052…2df2backed No	59c	55.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2177…3fb4backed Yes	48c	54.31$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7b…2d1abacked No	49c	54$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Yes	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	494	11.5%57 W · 437 L	-17.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	73	24.7%18 W · 55 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5c…767bbacked Yes	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb1…0f6ebacked Yes	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca2…0ab3backed No	59c	49.55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes	62c	48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.28	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x667b…fe0dbacked No	59c	48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…509bbacked No	59c	45.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	60c	42.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.66	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	75c	42.6$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.65	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeec4…30b5backed No	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No	49c	34.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.14	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	48c	33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	76c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes	75c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes	70c	29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	43c	28.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7f…6413backed Yes	73c	25.02$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.76	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	46c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	109	46.8%51 W · 58 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f44…7470backed Yes	61c	23.06$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed Yes	69c	21.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.54	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdf…eba6backed No	58c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed No	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed No	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No	74c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed No	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-6.7wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked No	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x095b…8a05backed No	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf75f…0546backed Yes	69c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?this page
Will Charlie Hermosa win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?No won
Will Douglas Moylan win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?No won
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event