Us Politics · resolved market
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61af02c9250c3917602e21c301e2f0cd032ea4e25bdef3751846b4d5f1c22799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 64c | 18,037$11,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,475.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 22c | 9,421$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.94 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…6bfdbacked No | 78c | 8,776$6,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4428…aa82backed No | 74c | 7,572$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 47c | 7,017$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 77c | 6,900$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 6,552$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.81 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 21c | 6,507$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed No | 80c | 5,800$4,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…762ebacked Yes | 19c | 5,455$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 74c | 4,000$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 19c | 3,408$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.14 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 33c | 3,104$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.59 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes | 21c | 3,067$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 29c | 2,615$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.1 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9515…10d7backed Yes | 19c | 2,572$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…4de7backed Yes | 5c | 2,571$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 14c | 2,537$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Yes | 36c | 2,500$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 5c | 2,400$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 2,400$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.98 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 19c | 2,302$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,173$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 11c | 2,030$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 26c | 2,007$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.81 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 62c | 2,003$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…d37ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,940$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 80c | 1,795$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2562…72a9backed Yes | 15c | 1,599$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 21c | 1,544$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 68c | 1,483$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -54%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed Yes | 40c | 1,473$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…9ab8backed No | 77c | 1,248$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 77c | 1,197$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.29 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Yes | 8c | 1,100$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 73c | 1,084$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…f18cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,002$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes | 22c | 999.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…0dc7backed Yes | 25c | 988.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…4aeebacked Yes | 5c | 975.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 73c | 970.14$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.17 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 958.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 909.94$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…12adbacked No | 79c | 900$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked Yes | 23c | 895.39$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…97a1backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 15c | 851.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 810.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…0b58backed No | 76c | 789.78$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…32afbacked No | 63c | 777.7$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…c855backed No | 78c | 764.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 759.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 14c | 702.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 18c | 699.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 18c | 699.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 13c | 684.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 645.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 69c | 644.29$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed No | 64c | 643.44$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…9d20backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 64c | 631.9$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.12 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…d210backed Yes | 15c | 627.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 619$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690a…2ea7backed Yes | 16c | 610.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Yes | 21c | 603$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…bfa4backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 18c | 600$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 74c | 599.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 6c | 574.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 555$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…8e68backed Yes | 5c | 552.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2390backed Yes | 43c | 552$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…1c6cbacked No | 76c | 550$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 33c | 549.64$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 547.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 71c | 539.81$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 27c | 534.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6aacbacked No | 77c | 529.69$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 522.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 520$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…f690backed Yes | 20c | 502.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…baedbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 23c | 499.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…37bcbacked No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 24c | 492.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 75c | 471.72$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked No | 76c | 467.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 44c | 459$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4557backed Yes | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Yes | 24c | 418.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…98fdbacked Yes | 24c | 404$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 15c | 402$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…e652backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…cc5bbacked Yes | 15c | 397.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…216bbacked No | 56c | 394.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.