Ukraine · resolved market
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3752bb5515b6f322e6f53433efc1ee4df278702c8a1675b7b9b550b4aa228a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 15c | 19,263$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.15 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…7c0dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,536$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 8,044$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.59 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed Yes | 17c | 6,704$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 17c | 5,088$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 19c | 4,797$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…a20fbacked Yes | 16c | 4,626$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 14c | 4,156$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.52 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 10c | 3,867$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,042$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…4442backed Yes | 13c | 2,775$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed9…11f0backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 9c | 2,390$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 11c | 2,354$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 10c | 2,257$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 21c | 2,051$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…781dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,019$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 26c | 1,984$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.46 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…e3e9backed No | 79c | 1,930$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 1,896$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…6a73backed Yes | 5c | 1,863$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…4c46backed Yes | 1c | 1,813$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,689$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.58 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 1,652$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,623$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 6c | 1,620$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 79c | 1,600$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.4 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,558$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 1,419$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,366$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…a173backed No | 79c | 1,261$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 15c | 1,234$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 74c | 1,228$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…f7bdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,173$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 999.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459d…e305backed Yes | 12c | 957.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 9c | 956.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 30c | 939.78$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.64 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 14c | 939.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 3c | 900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 12c | 865.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…225bbacked Yes | 6c | 821.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 19c | 799.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 7c | 719.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 80c | 710.26$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 10c | 699.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 20c | 636.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed No | 73c | 618.13$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 71c | 600$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed No | 80c | 589.46$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…c046backed Yes | 28c | 568.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 13c | 510.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…a67dbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…0764backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 28c | 450.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…77adbacked Yes | 12c | 433.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…5bd9backed Yes | 25c | 432.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 14c | 428$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 11c | 412.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 411.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…b927backed Yes | 13c | 400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 77c | 380.01$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 7c | 370$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 7c | 364.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 11c | 342.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed No | 73c | 340.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…6e34backed Yes | 18c | 308.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…e610backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…67f5backed Yes | 28c | 265.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…9b6cbacked Yes | 12c | 246.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…7de7backed Yes | 22c | 238.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…ce5dbacked No | 77c | 226.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…2283backed Yes | 8c | 197.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Yes | 6c | 197$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 26c | 193.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…7db6backed Yes | 25c | 189.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 9c | 182.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 16c | 175.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…7bf4backed Yes | 12c | 170.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 17c | 168.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…0f72backed Yes | 13c | 167.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 10c | 162.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 11c | 156.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 155.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…0b03backed Yes | 13c | 150.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 58c | 148$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…cf81backed No | 76c | 131.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…efe0backed No | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 22c | 123.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?this page
- EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.