Ukraine · resolved market
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x526ef35bafa5ab7fd9d8a139d72439a13d13d5f9925eb334ceb3b1aae8dd588c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 18c | 14,940$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.04 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 15c | 8,191$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…6a73backed Yes | 11c | 7,590$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 27c | 4,998$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.66 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 2c | 4,500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 24c | 3,420$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.4 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,195$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…33cbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,955$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 77c | 2,864$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 18c | 2,712$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.67 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,652$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.61 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,625$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…5287backed Yes | 13c | 2,604$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 78c | 2,497$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 3c | 2,018$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 1,966$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.84 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…25c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,909$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,821$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 75c | 1,766$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.7 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 60c | 1,709$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.89 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,595$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…00ecbacked Yes | 2c | 1,502$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 25c | 1,467$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.47 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 34c | 1,435$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 22c | 1,417$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a97…9319backed Yes | 30c | 1,332$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,273$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.58 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,067$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed No | 65c | 1,050$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…6332backed Yes | 29c | 1,049$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,020$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…4c46backed Yes | 2c | 995.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 63c | 953.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.66 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…b0a6backed No | 69c | 945$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 68c | 921.36$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed No | 64c | 900.98$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 34c | 886.61$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.61 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 804.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b2f6backed No | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 57c | 799.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 70c | 759.85$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 1c | 751.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 33c | 737.16$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 715.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e39dbacked No | 71c | 695.3$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 28c | 688.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 30c | 654$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…781dbacked Yes | 48c | 626.96$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 23c | 617.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 612$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 34c | 599.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 76c | 583.45$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 25c | 574.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 61c | 558.66$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 34c | 550.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked Yes | 40c | 550.68$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed No | 77c | 522.1$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 47c | 522$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 68c | 500$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…8ebbbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 29c | 499.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 16c | 478.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 70c | 429.91$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 3c | 429.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…7727backed Yes | 25c | 423$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…d382backed No | 67c | 422.83$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 19c | 412.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 31c | 412$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 57c | 399.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 62c | 399.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 25c | 383.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 16c | 355.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…27aebacked Yes | 4c | 345.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 23c | 343.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…9b1fbacked Yes | 45c | 332.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…e35cbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…9b6cbacked No | 67c | 311.59$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…3857backed Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 67c | 299.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…4442backed Yes | 17c | 299.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 282.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…225bbacked Yes | 18c | 281.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed No | 69c | 262.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 27c | 258.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…08efbacked No | 77c | 251.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked Yes | 39c | 247.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…da09backed No | 68c | 243.03$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 68c | 241.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 23c | 240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…5e5ebacked Yes | 13c | 230.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e90…4d95backed No | 71c | 228.12$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 225.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?this page
- EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.