World Politics · resolved market
Prince Andrew released by February 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8526689cafa6150f6f957059eb8f84e7c968f46d9e62b9122c82466df666e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 62c | 8,471$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.17 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 26c | 5,449$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 34c | 3,465$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.29 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…c925backed No | 1c | 3,026$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…eb3bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,574$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.11 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 75c | 2,470$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,269$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 20c | 2,207$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.12 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…0af0backed No | 1c | 1,657$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 75c | 1,540$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…5b65backed No | 78c | 1,473$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 26c | 1,352$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed No | 74c | 1,250$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 1,230$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ed7dbacked No | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked No | 75c | 1,053$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…5f4fbacked No | 75c | 900.01$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…dd54backed No | 2c | 897.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 26c | 819.22$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.22 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 750$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed No | 13c | 749.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked No | 13c | 749.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 13c | 650$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 22cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 627.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.71 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…d3adbacked No | 8c | 620.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +341.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed No | 45c | 540$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 74c | 534$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 24c | 499.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked No | 11c | 449.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +341.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…f913backed No | 17c | 423.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 26c | 409.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +13.2wins | +0.49per pick | 29cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 78+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…bd89backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked No | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…27e0backed No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 23c | 375$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…10e6backed No | 75c | 373.88$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…48a3backed No | 4c | 347.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…411cbacked No | 71c | 320$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked No | 8c | 310.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…a2dfbacked No | 74c | 305.41$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…efd9backed No | 75c | 304.63$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…f13cbacked No | 74c | 280$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…9a89backed No | 74c | 272.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed No | 40c | 256.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff0…1429backed Yes | 23c | 255.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 35c | 231.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked No | 80c | 220$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 37c | 216.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…1b7fbacked No | 74c | 211.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…ffb4backed Yes | 59c | 211.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed No | 76c | 207.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 55c | 183.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 18c | 182.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…b7a2backed No | 80c | 180$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…6a57backed No | 70c | 179.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 24c | 175$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eec…f4e2backed No | 73c | 169.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…9836backed No | 75c | 157.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…2702backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…c6fabacked No | 75c | 132.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…afadbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…8740backed Yes | 15c | 125$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +291.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb1…fa88backed No | 76c | 115.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…928fbacked Yes | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked No | 77c | 110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…8678backed Yes | 23c | 105.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +336.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…6157backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976d…b79dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…642cbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…6eb3backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +315.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…bce0backed No | 76c | 92.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…093ebacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…2795backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…ee77backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…5848backed No | 77c | 63.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc0…8c12backed No | 76c | 55.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…d07ebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…0664backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…0943backed No | 80c | 45.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…eedebacked Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7eebbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ab…c746backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e10…b1ffbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed Yes | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca23…f403backed Yes | 27c | 39.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4394…3055backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…8a5bbacked No | 73c | 32.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Prince Andrew released by February 19?this page
- Prince Andrew released by February 20?Yes won
- Prince Andrew released by February 21?Yes won
- Prince Andrew released by February 22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.