Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a98e2c2c6afba5984fcce0ca9b2a057bccf067b189ba7345eb3d3fbd13903d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x668d…e471backed Team Liquid | 74c | 3,364$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 3,212$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.29 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6a…9b8abacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 2,778$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid | 65c | 2,500$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.56 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 1,988$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.8 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 1,673$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.26 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid | 74c | 729.69$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 700.98$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Team Liquid | 53c | 629.17$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…cf8bbacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 576.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 74c | 469.32$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Karmine Corp | 21c | 436.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 340.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 320$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…1c69backed Karmine Corp | 4c | 270.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 260$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Karmine Corp | 10c | 260$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 254$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 237$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 210.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…7a9cbacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 209.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 208.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Liquid | 52c | 196.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…0a78backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 192.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…a023backed Team Liquid | 61c | 182.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 166.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 157.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…97b0backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 151.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid | 76c | 148.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 146.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 129.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 117.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 77.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 73c | 75.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 75.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 68.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…b699backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 67.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 63.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 60.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…c659backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 60.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Liquid | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…45d8backed Team Liquid | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Liquid | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 48.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 44.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Liquid | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 35.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Team Liquid | 77c | 33.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…92a5backed Team Liquid | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Team Liquid | 67c | 29.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed Team Liquid | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…db6dbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Team Liquid | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Team Liquid | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.