Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e652f02af7ea7e87f690423f3d7c9c2e602632e5d9b68c9e1028a934018b298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 2,385$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.75 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid | 72c | 2,308$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.68 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid | 75c | 2,302$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.67 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 1,605$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,492$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Karmine Corp | 6c | 1,094$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 1,001$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 836.28$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 806.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.38 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 782.36$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 634.41$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 598.49$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Team Liquid | 69c | 555.39$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 75c | 495.9$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 347.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 326$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 231.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 210.44$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…0a78backed Karmine Corp | 12c | 194.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Karmine Corp | 18c | 148$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Team Liquid | 67c | 145.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Liquid | 79c | 124.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 112.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 106$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c3…0d64backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 105.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp | 18c | 100.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Liquid | 61c | 100.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Karmine Corp | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…57ffbacked Karmine Corp | 26c | 96.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Team Liquid | 71c | 83.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd90…0854backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 80.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 76.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…aa2dbacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 76.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 69.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86c…2520backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 61.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid | 77c | 58.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…80d8backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 45.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 39.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Team Liquid | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…59c2backed Team Liquid | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 27.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Liquid | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 20.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked Team Liquid | 72c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.