World Politics · resolved market
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c1cac166616ca0b8d6117223aa9b2fb6e60d9190cd5261245c329e471ef459b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $486,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 7c | 16,123$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.37 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 0c | 13,400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 110 | 0%0 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 0c | 7,568$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 80c | 7,332$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.53 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 80c | 6,939$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.67 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5af6backed No | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…e6d1backed No | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…8e38backed No | 17c | 5,500$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked No | 17c | 5,320$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Yes | 67c | 5,157$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…80ebbacked Yes | 12c | 5,051$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,858$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,788$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…dbf9backed No | 1c | 3,491$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…3b5dbacked No | 2c | 3,367$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 1c | 3,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 20c | 2,601$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.93 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 21c | 2,539$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.2 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d2babacked Yes | 43c | 2,435$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 2,241$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 1,961$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 59c | 1,950$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.52 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed No | 31c | 1,884$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…3134backed Yes | 70c | 1,789$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 20c | 1,730$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.06 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 33c | 1,668$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.1 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…7676backed Yes | 13c | 1,580$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +694.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 1,464$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.55 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,453$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 13c | 1,429$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 1,424$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…7a68backed Yes | 70c | 1,422$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 2c | 1,400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ad…20ddbacked No | 18c | 1,387$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…b2e4backed Yes | 9c | 1,307$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +426.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…e9a2backed Yes | 77c | 1,292$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed Yes | 50c | 1,255$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 1,219$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 6c | 1,197$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 64c | 1,170$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b62…9ecdbacked Yes | 74c | 1,145$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,128$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,099$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.32 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…10a2backed No | 23c | 1,066$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f2…a57cbacked No | 1c | 978.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…6f8cbacked Yes | 72c | 970.32$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 13c | 929.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 2c | 905.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…49f6backed No | 10c | 895.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 9c | 875.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +305.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…80eebacked No | 18c | 862.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…f6f7backed No | 24c | 806.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 19c | 784.02$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…9063backed Yes | 14c | 772.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 69c | 761.78$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed No | 21c | 750.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 19c | 740.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes | 77c | 740.09$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 75c | 736.1$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…ed39backed No | 20c | 720$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…f92fbacked No | 26c | 717.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 13c | 694.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.75 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…4bdebacked Yes | 70c | 671.94$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9177…318abacked Yes | 71c | 661.58$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 64c | 648.31$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 646.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89a3…70c0backed Yes | 6c | 630$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +283.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…4478backed Yes | 16c | 624.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 16c | 603.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 601.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 10c | 599.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3d…fddcbacked Yes | 12c | 593.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +112%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 21c | 530.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 22c | 453.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Yes | 22c | 449.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4e…9f6dbacked No | 20c | 447.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed No | 3c | 447$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…db32backed No | 13c | 442$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Yes | 11c | 415.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +207.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed No | 16c | 405.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 26c | 400.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…7fe8backed No | 22c | 400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…2a5ebacked No | 22c | 400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…edc9backed No | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…a158backed No | 23c | 394.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…3759backed No | 28c | 387.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 12c | 383.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…ebccbacked No | 13c | 380.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 12c | 368.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.96 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 363.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.07 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…fa7abacked Yes | 72c | 360.47$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…3637backed No | 19c | 350.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Yes | 34c | 346.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.1 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…2e0bbacked Yes | 8c | 341.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,076.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…d99ebacked No | 17c | 341$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…3238backed No | 28c | 329.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?this page
- Will Alexandre Dupalais win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
- Will Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
- Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
- Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.