World Politics · resolved market
Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379914c8e1309261364e9a8f7888e99004ca398a9db6737fe821505cdb153bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,768,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,768,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3426…0c98backed Yes | 0c | 34,460$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1b66backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e6…f8b9backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…06e2backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…94cbbacked Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9391…ad85backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…b790backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…71fdbacked Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…a84fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…d572backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…7f3fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…5b02backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…7617backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…8f7fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…feb9backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…5fc8backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe4…219dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…53e3backed Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…82fdbacked Yes | 0c | 18,230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…7147backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…e4cfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…abd0backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…44d3backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180d…85cdbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…e4bbbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…5835backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8008…36f3backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657b…7e29backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…1a02backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d007backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…ae30backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…7ebfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…d70ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfff…2e55backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…fff4backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bd…d72cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…f8d4backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…c2a6backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…d9a0backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…e13bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e06…9269backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…4332backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…4cccbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…110fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d9…f435backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…aa19backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…be79backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…e8c1backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…d533backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb367…980fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…3730backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…c902backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…2511backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbd…7494backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…a4bcbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…3127backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…42edbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…1c20backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…e3e3backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…1d45backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…fd72backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…005abacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ff67backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…db69backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…0ec6backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119f…c1a5backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…d209backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…4ad2backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…c582backed Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f2…5b4cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cd…86c7backed Yes | 0c | 16,736$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…1af0backed Yes | 0c | 16,736$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…ba1abacked Yes | 0c | 16,736$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…bb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 16,736$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…69bfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,730$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…aa04backed Yes | 0c | 16,730$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…523ebacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…9850backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…ee0bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…bd7dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c09…e913backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…0f62backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…972abacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…cd15backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…6180backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…f3fbbacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…655bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c47…7a7abacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…5a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…7cf8backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…ad73backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…6f30backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…13c1backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ef…7601backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4f…dd18backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc956…2286backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…60b1backed Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…622abacked Yes | 0c | 16,230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…0995backed Yes | 0c | 16,087$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?this page
- Will Alexandre Dupalais win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
- Will Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
- Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.