World Politics · resolved market
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb43dc44799556ee98623b3ec98bdf0d094ba4bf2dfc73e7df32a4a9f75d737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,219$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 13,722$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.5 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 39c | 12,598$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.13 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 27c | 8,913$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.82 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed Yes | 43c | 8,771$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 79c | 6,679$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.11 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…f989backed Yes | 2c | 5,953$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 56c | 5,934$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 1c | 5,918$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 4c | 5,775$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 33c | 5,442$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.38 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 19c | 4,904$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.09 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d2babacked Yes | 2c | 4,702$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3fdbbacked Yes | 25c | 4,422$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…6f90backed Yes | 8c | 4,019$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 23c | 4,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked No | 15c | 3,926$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 16c | 3,709$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…81cabacked Yes | 9c | 3,355$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 41c | 3,238$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.43 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Yes | 0c | 3,113$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…6b62backed Yes | 15c | 3,005$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 11c | 2,763$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.91 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed No | 34c | 2,743$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Yes | 4c | 2,578$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…dd70backed Yes | 1c | 2,563$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9df1backed Yes | 50c | 2,287$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 29c | 2,236$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,225$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…d589backed Yes | 17c | 2,223$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 45c | 2,137$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.61 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…29c9backed Yes | 3c | 2,112$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 2,025$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 40c | 1,827$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.22 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed Yes | 17c | 1,803$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,755$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…134bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,640$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b62…9ecdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,625$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 18c | 1,571$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.11 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 6c | 1,443$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 6c | 1,440$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Yes | 5c | 1,427$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…942abacked Yes | 8c | 1,422$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…49f6backed Yes | 10c | 1,307$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 6c | 1,302$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed Yes | 6c | 1,187$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb0…a6a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,160$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 50c | 1,155$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…3238backed No | 73c | 1,132$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed Yes | 4c | 1,051$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 34c | 1,043$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.3 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…ab96backed No | 51c | 999.85$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…66c6backed Yes | 10c | 980.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb55…3eb2backed Yes | 1c | 978.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949b…b285backed Yes | 9c | 935$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…9a77backed Yes | 17c | 932.45$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +400%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 4c | 927.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.98 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…7033backed No | 16c | 925.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +498%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 914.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.25 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Yes | 9c | 904.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 78c | 903.96$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…dbf9backed Yes | 10c | 890.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…0e6dbacked Yes | 27c | 870.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 12c | 807.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 11c | 806$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 28c | 800$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…80eebacked Yes | 14c | 799.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed Yes | 45c | 780$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 53c | 762.82$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 74c | 751.67$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.91 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…bd95backed Yes | 10c | 732.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes | 18c | 710$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 16c | 700$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 13c | 695.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.8 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bb…7f36backed Yes | 20c | 660.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33fbbacked Yes | 11c | 650.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 649.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…b3cabacked Yes | 2c | 624.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 620$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…5ad7backed Yes | 16c | 617.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc650…6a1bbacked No | 12c | 616.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +223.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…7ed9backed Yes | 3c | 615.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 7c | 602.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.04 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 8c | 600$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 21c | 594.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa403…33aebacked Yes | 31c | 574.37$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 33c | 549.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.77 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 2c | 542.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec22…89cebacked Yes | 10c | 521.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…ea96backed No | 10c | 516.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +925.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…2810backed Yes | 10c | 504.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…516dbacked Yes | 10c | 501.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 8c | 500$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…ebb5backed Yes | 22c | 499.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?this page
- Will Alexandre Dupalais win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
- Will Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
- Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.