TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6b5…80ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Stocks, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 52 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+506.6%+$50.67
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$126.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$334.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$172
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$174.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$106.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.79
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.89
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$12.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$90.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$322.19
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-64.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.95
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.47
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.84
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.66
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.21
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.46
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.96
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.26
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$108
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+262.6%+$1,816.58
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$38.88
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.91
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.94
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$55.32
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$253.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$255.2
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$11.96
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.53
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$44.49
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$91.25
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.26
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.97
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Will Trent Williams be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Breece Hall be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.11
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$408.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$96.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.