Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8467c034b599376bb5afc7a26f4d5e813b78a629f6164d39dcc0c1accc8395c

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $697,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697,816 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	4c	30,777$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.84	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6eb…d44fbacked Yes	2c	29,860$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed No	77c	25,000$19,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,750	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	21,896$1,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,748.53	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	20,442$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	20,113$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.58	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	3c	16,557$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.35	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	15,038$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.35	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	3c	14,566$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.93	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	14,549$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.64	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	3c	14,224$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.75	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	14,189$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.67	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes	0c	13,000$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.67	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	12,322$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.42	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	11,085$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.21	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	10,451$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.58	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	10,114$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.24	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	19c	8,992$1,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,725.2	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	9c	8,248$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.71	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	8c	8,208$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.59	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…256dbacked Yes	1c	7,882$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	6,951$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.15	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	1c	6,745$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.66	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	5,998$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	1c	5,995$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.73	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	1c	5,761$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes	2c	5,555$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.32	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes	1c	5,359$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	5,072$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.36	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbc0…a438backed Yes	0c	5,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	16c	5,000$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.13	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	4c	4,612$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.39	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	4,597$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.67	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	12c	4,517$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.62	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	6c	4,400$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	18c	4,190$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…e564backed Yes	15c	4,113$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.38	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	4,100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	18c	4,000$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.36	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	3,923$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.12	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	17c	3,905$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00be…9cb8backed Yes	0c	3,841$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f7…4edbbacked Yes	12c	3,554$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.51	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	3,528$2,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.67	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…f3e8backed Yes	19c	3,509$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.13	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	9c	3,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Yes	13c	3,468$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.72	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	3c	3,401$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.03	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	7c	3,384$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.77	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	12c	3,232$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.58	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	0c	3,123$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	15c	3,040$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.11	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	16c	3,028$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	13c	3,000$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.92	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	19c	3,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	3,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	2c	2,858$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.41	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	2,857$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	12c	2,750$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.5	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	12c	2,660$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.32	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	2,650$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	23c	2,638$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	1c	2,579$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.21	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0790…34babacked Yes	1c	2,508$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	9c	2,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	1c	2,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x96a6…39eebacked Yes	0c	2,358$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	1c	2,253$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	2,234$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	15c	2,200$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	1c	2,180$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0dd…f987backed Yes	1c	2,042$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	16c	2,021$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.54	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…a669backed Yes	13c	2,006$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.5	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a0…b9eebacked Yes	24c	2,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4222…cf8abacked Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	10c	1,957$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	6c	1,900$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.35	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	1,886$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05aa…e3c3backed Yes	1c	1,870$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+201.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	1,858$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.75	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,851$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	1,800$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.9	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	14c	1,701$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb302…2baebacked Yes	12c	1,679$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.67	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	1c	1,674$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	6c	1,622$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.7	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	14c	1,603$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.94	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	17c	1,571$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.04	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes	19c	1,553$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.07	100	32%32 W · 68 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	14c	1,505$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.7	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	1,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	3c	1,498$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event