Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35208067b7b6135c25a55094a01e58657ffc50923531631d9b78bcbbac966c5f

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $204,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,823 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	25,200$1,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.43	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	24,741$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	4c	22,162$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	21,659$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.29	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	7,800$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.31	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	6,167$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.96	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	6,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	9c	6,053$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.39	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	5,854$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	5,831$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.49	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	10c	5,559$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.43	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	5,397$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.05	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,350$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	8c	5,116$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.36	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	3c	5,058$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.72	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed Yes	9c	5,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Yes	10c	4,924$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.32	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	4,876$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	7c	4,551$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.51	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,001$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.12	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	4,000$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.9	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	4,000$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.54	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	3,966$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.74	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	10c	3,808$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.62	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…27d2backed Yes	14c	3,730$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.95	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	6c	3,710$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.07	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	3,685$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.62	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	1c	3,652$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	7c	3,601$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.98	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	3,593$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.09	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	4c	3,300$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.4	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbc0…a438backed Yes	1c	3,200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ea…34dfbacked Yes	11c	3,013$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.81	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	9c	3,000$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	4c	3,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b28…5b76backed Yes	10c	2,617$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.58	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	3c	2,388$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.63	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	1c	2,300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	7c	2,133$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.81	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	8c	2,112$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.51	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827d…b1f0backed Yes	8c	2,069$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.58	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-48%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,001$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.59	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	10c	1,954$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.7	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	1,858$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.57	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	1,849$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.91	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	7c	1,834$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.75	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	9c	1,806$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.31	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	12c	1,689$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a1f…d43cbacked Yes	8c	1,638$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	1,600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	5c	1,584$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,560$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,537$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	6c	1,495$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.71	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	1,492$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	4c	1,458$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.15	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	1,423$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.36	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	4c	1,400$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…256dbacked Yes	7c	1,378$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	8c	1,347$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.58	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	5c	1,306$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.96	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	4c	1,287$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.09	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	1,212$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	1,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	10c	1,130$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.03	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Yes	6c	1,125$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.45	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	5c	1,115$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…1ab3backed Yes	3c	1,060$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf31…0590backed Yes	4c	1,060$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.44	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	12c	1,048$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.88	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	8c	1,042$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.01	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ed…0172backed Yes	10c	1,031$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7db…8aadbacked Yes	10c	1,030$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	4c	1,023$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.76	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes	10c	1,016$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	6c	1,006$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.22	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	4c	1,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0206…9b1dbacked Yes	4c	999.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	998$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	989.98$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.25	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e1…52dcbacked Yes	10c	975.62$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.95	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	8c	943.13$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.64	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x966e…2ad5backed Yes	3c	900$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Yes	10c	858.08$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0790…34babacked Yes	4c	837.18$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…a6c8backed Yes	8c	804$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba66…79d8backed Yes	8c	803.39$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.93	115	19.1%22 W · 93 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2377…1481backed Yes	4c	799.13$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.02	172	8.7%15 W · 157 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ea…23dfbacked Yes	9c	774.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f4…01efbacked Yes	7c	753$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	719.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.53	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	6c	700$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	59	15.3%9 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66d8…8258backed Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+7.1wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2db1…8275backed Yes	9c	623.81$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event