Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f0cc8a7d4128a8eacb92f5c2138f6efc552c68168c61a1af64d6adf299e7bcc

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $162,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,869 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7902…170cbacked Yes	0c	49,308$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	0%0 W · 79 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f0…529ebacked Yes	1c	24,720$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.12	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	18,353$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98df…59f1backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	12,833$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.71	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7343…0397backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	10,567$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.74	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	10,135$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.62	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	0c	7,567$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	6,239$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.62	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	6,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…7a48backed Yes	0c	5,027$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac4…c6d1backed Yes	1c	5,015$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	2c	5,000$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.52	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7db…8aadbacked Yes	2c	4,327$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	3c	4,002$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.01	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	2c	3,878$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.86	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	3,603$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.32	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	1c	3,077$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	3c	3,065$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.33	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	2c	3,057$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.08	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	2,684$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.23	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	3c	2,629$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.95	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	2,564$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	3c	2,418$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.41	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	2,310$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.95	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54cc…a28fbacked Yes	1c	2,257$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.52	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd832…19b7backed Yes	2c	1,943$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.82	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	5c	1,841$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,762$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.51	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,722$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…9d92backed Yes	2c	1,676$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.57	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	2c	1,642$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.95	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,640$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	2c	1,627$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.31	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d0…9509backed Yes	6c	1,473$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.43	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcff5…0e8bbacked Yes	4c	1,340$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9816…833ebacked Yes	7c	1,312$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.94	191	27.7%53 W · 138 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	3c	1,291$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.42	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	2c	1,250$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	3c	1,163$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,148$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc366…73cebacked Yes	1c	1,132$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	3c	1,117$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa5…e581backed Yes	2c	1,088$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.53	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	1,063$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.07	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa9…c4bcbacked Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	1c	999.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	2c	999.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	5c	999.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	4c	999.94$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	999.83$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	916$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	4c	900.84$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117f…4a20backed Yes	7c	886.42$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	850.19$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.57	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	3c	824$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	800$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	4c	762.97$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.11	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b5…456abacked Yes	3c	748$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	+87.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	727.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes	4c	699.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62f4…4064backed Yes	3c	699.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfc…98e0backed Yes	2c	697.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Yes	5c	655.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9efe…68cabacked Yes	6c	631.76$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.99	56	25%14 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	9c	614.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	11c	610.08$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.83	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	3c	608.97$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	3c	586.44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2bc…b274backed Yes	2c	553.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes	2c	541.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.41	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe960…a33fbacked Yes	3c	539.62$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a9…d5e4backed Yes	3c	530.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x957f…aee0backed Yes	3c	508.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+107.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x366c…5078backed Yes	4c	500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1e…8136backed Yes	6c	463.93$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes	3c	462$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	3c	415.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb887…5bebbacked Yes	5c	388$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac2…2647backed Yes	5c	360$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efe…ac77backed Yes	5c	330$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ec…95dabacked Yes	3c	321.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+84%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	4c	306.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	6c	300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	9c	265.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…f197backed Yes	6c	201.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…9a43backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1f…e3a8backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaff2…9070backed Yes	11c	185.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc012…5d52backed Yes	8c	181.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cea…4ae1backed Yes	7c	141.08$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf9…8cbfbacked Yes	9c	135.78$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff5…3fd6backed Yes	8c	134$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	110	17.3%19 W · 91 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	14c	123.45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…2ba5backed Yes	10c	103.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	150	21.3%32 W · 118 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event