Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5a8ab0764f4dfd66ddbfff2606d07b5c9b778e4dc0ae3bc2924a9d2e12b1f7

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $400,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,829 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	26,069$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,474.89	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	17,858$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	7c	15,242$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.11	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	15,038$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	11,534$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.73	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	11c	10,863$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207.4	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes	2c	9,999$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	8,366$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed Yes	14c	8,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	6,768$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.25	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	4c	6,360$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.4	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	6,210$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.77	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	6,100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	6,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	11c	5,600$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.99	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	17c	5,534$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.46	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f7…4edbbacked Yes	13c	5,385$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.13	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	5,245$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	5,138$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.31	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	11c	5,128$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.05	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	14c	5,000$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.32	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	4,930$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.52	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Yes	12c	4,298$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.88	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	9c	4,247$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.57	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	4,128$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.9	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	12c	4,089$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.84	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b28…5b76backed Yes	13c	3,997$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.8	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	16c	3,764$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb302…2baebacked Yes	12c	3,415$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	1c	3,401$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	3,300$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.02	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	6c	3,186$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.62	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	16c	3,069$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e9…5625backed Yes	1c	3,021$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.86	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	2,900$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Yes	11c	2,764$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	9c	2,640$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.18	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	19c	2,492$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	18c	2,406$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.08	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	7c	2,375$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.74	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	8c	2,185$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.08	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	7c	2,168$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.98	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	2,051$1,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.22	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,020$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	2,000$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.19	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	1,931$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.78	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	10c	1,921$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.25	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2377…1481backed Yes	7c	1,870$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.29	172	8.7%15 W · 157 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	11c	1,771$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.62	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	1,726$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	17c	1,707$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.05	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc0…a438backed Yes	1c	1,650$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	12c	1,621$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.54	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	1,618$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.26	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	2c	1,500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	1,500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	15c	1,493$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.76	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	14c	1,418$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.25	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	1,400$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	15c	1,400$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa80…c7e0backed Yes	10c	1,360$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.28	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	10c	1,347$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.23	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	1,333$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9efe…68cabacked Yes	9c	1,320$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.07	56	25%14 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	2c	1,200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	7c	1,182$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.52	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	8c	1,119$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.11	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	10c	1,118$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.9	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…256dbacked Yes	12c	1,057$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb058…ed72backed Yes	17c	1,040$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.8	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	11c	1,025$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…a669backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	999.99$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.26	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a0…b9eebacked Yes	11c	999.96$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	5c	986.15$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e04…be32backed Yes	11c	980$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.1	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+84%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…9b1dbacked Yes	5c	943.31$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.17	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	939.52$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.63	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	16c	800$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf31…0590backed Yes	6c	775$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.45	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	8c	730.24$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Yes	17c	715.28$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c93…09b9backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e1…52dcbacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	13c	710.88$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.41	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	10c	708.92$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	7c	700.28$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.78	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	15c	700$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	15c	700$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.41	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	6c	700$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event