Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b64a31d42f142e399ea9db91f53cb491993e5aad3a141fc70061d1384be5a4d

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $691,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,427 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2778…8547backed Yes	0c	103,316$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.6	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	81,729$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.19	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	49,323$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.74	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…6efebacked Yes	0c	46,612$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	44,856$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.93	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	0c	25,522$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9285…4d48backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	24,959$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes	0c	21,441$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	54	0%0 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56f3…1b75backed Yes	0c	20,265$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	19,554$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda98…5119backed Yes	0c	18,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86f7…4edbbacked Yes	1c	17,647$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.02	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	17,566$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.63	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2f…c1acbacked Yes	1c	16,330$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.4	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	13,500$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes	0c	12,710$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	47	0%0 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc6…43c4backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	0%0 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5084…fb85backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	0%0 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	11,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbded…4e61backed Yes	0c	10,765$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	0c	10,606$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90fc…8d71backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	9c	8,400$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.2	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	2c	7,539$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.69	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes	0c	7,439$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-32%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	6,925$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.95	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	2c	5,904$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.63	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	0c	5,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	5,352$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98df…59f1backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe105…1b21backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	1c	4,688$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.97	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	2c	4,657$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.92	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	3c	4,562$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.11	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	2c	4,523$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.87	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	3,878$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.3	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7e…128bbacked Yes	1c	3,780$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	3,588$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	0c	3,501$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+92.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	3,457$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	8c	3,402$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.9	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	3,316$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.1	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	2c	3,290$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.49	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f0…529ebacked Yes	6c	3,200$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.59	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	3,145$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.83	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…256dbacked Yes	1c	3,088$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	3,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.47	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	2,605$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.78	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	1c	2,594$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	2,467$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.4	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac4…c6d1backed Yes	2c	2,142$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	2,099$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8947…d84dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	4c	1,843$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.85	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes	5c	1,828$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	3cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	9c	1,823$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.84	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	1,722$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	3c	1,649$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.49	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	1,642$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.8	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab1c…35a7backed Yes	2c	1,625$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	1c	1,623$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	8c	1,600$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.8	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	3c	1,562$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	5c	1,500$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d0…9509backed Yes	3c	1,460$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	1,423$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.51	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73f7…cfccbacked Yes	1c	1,320$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	17cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	8c	1,318$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	4c	1,314$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13d…11aabacked Yes	1c	1,244$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	7c	1,214$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.33	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	3c	1,190$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.46	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	1,107$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,092$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.13	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd2c0…6761backed Yes	5c	1,074$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	8cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4193…7a48backed Yes	1c	1,016$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,008$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.97	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd80…4f46backed Yes	3c	972.89$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.74	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7587…81e2backed Yes	1c	906.48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	1c	900.42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Yes	8c	776.77$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x117f…4a20backed Yes	8c	750$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	5c	699.93$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6621…28ddbacked Yes	3c	677.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…1d05backed Yes	4c	622.49$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x634d…f635backed Yes	3c	620$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9816…833ebacked Yes	9c	610$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.3	191	27.7%53 W · 138 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ae…6754backed Yes	8c	600$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fe…d001backed Yes	5c	578$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd832…19b7backed Yes	4c	556.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219f…dbd9backed Yes	2c	549.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf1e…8136backed Yes	8c	546.39$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	3c	524$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.24	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9efe…68cabacked Yes	8c	523.67$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.15	56	25%14 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event