Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce7aa6795bb08b30742ff235a10ac735195d3e5aafde4390874336b766c4f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,214 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 2,586$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.36 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 2c | 1,544$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 12c | 1,297$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,100$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 18c | 999.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 25c | 939$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Yes | 25c | 855$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked No | 75c | 775$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed No | 75c | 773$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…eef8backed Yes | 14c | 742.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 8c | 723.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 32c | 719.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 20c | 698.69$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 13c | 658.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 8c | 655.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 30c | 649.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 17c | 598.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 11c | 567.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 14c | 501.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 463$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 458.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 73c | 454.59$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 444.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 23c | 425.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 416.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 10c | 410$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 14c | 394.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 391.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a2c2backed Yes | 5c | 390.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 10c | 372.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 369.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed Yes | 18c | 356.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 333.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 8c | 318.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 19c | 312.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 12c | 301.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 6c | 255.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked Yes | 8c | 251.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…c30dbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed No | 75c | 246$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 12c | 236$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ff…9552backed Yes | 30c | 229.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 19c | 204.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 28c | 203.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…422fbacked Yes | 5c | 200.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523dbacked Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 199.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 26c | 199.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 197.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 18c | 194.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 193.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 26c | 188.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 186.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 65c | 185$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 28c | 178.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…ecd2backed Yes | 26c | 166.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…188dbacked Yes | 8c | 142.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 18c | 132.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 334 | 15.6%52 W · 282 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 20c | 130.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…d61bbacked Yes | 28c | 101.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b05…712abacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Yes | 11c | 99.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…53bbbacked Yes | 11c | 97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…9059backed Yes | 22c | 95.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe685…f72cbacked Yes | 28c | 95.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 11c | 94.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 23c | 93.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4955…e949backed Yes | 11c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 16c | 91.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…988fbacked Yes | 13c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 19c | 84.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…59bbbacked Yes | 27c | 81.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…43e4backed Yes | 23c | 80.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…de46backed Yes | 16c | 79.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6e…5a68backed Yes | 13c | 77.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 22c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad36…f79bbacked Yes | 22c | 67.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 18c | 66.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 18c | 66.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 18c | 66.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 65.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 22c | 57.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…c62fbacked Yes | 30c | 55.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…ccacbacked Yes | 24c | 55.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 20c | 53.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…67b0backed Yes | 21c | 53.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 50.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.