Middle East · resolved market
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa506b4f34e0b07f982ab96ff05ce26902ed772ca6752909d0c927d1e1e37ee6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,932,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,112,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,932,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 20c | 118,601$24,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,031.25 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd5…9622backed Yes | 21c | 79,020$16,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,594.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked No | 48c | 42,341$20,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,149.57 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 19c | 37,457$7,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,004.47 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…5e3ebacked No | 79c | 36,184$28,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,598.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 72c | 33,803$24,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,296.99 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 65c | 26,524$17,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,263.85 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 31c | 26,367$8,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,252.32 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 48c | 25,511$12,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,179.62 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 19c | 25,337$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.03 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…083bbacked Yes | 7c | 23,969$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 26c | 23,486$6,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,353.44 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -14.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…970cbacked No | 79c | 22,626$17,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…c3a4backed Yes | 2c | 20,157$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.81 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…2b42backed Yes | 29c | 20,108$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed No | 74c | 19,644$14,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.85 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…bf2fbacked No | 79c | 19,532$15,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 24c | 18,099$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.8 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…1c47backed Yes | 19c | 16,799$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…92fbbacked Yes | 44c | 16,521$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 43c | 15,529$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,724.06 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 59c | 15,001$8,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,804.16 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…224ebacked Yes | 34c | 14,640$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 78c | 14,223$11,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.41 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 19c | 14,205$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.34 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 29c | 14,004$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984.75 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 48c | 13,741$6,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,113.25 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…886ebacked No | 73c | 13,602$9,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 70c | 13,580$9,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.83 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed No | 39c | 13,487$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,166.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…59a9backed Yes | 62c | 13,434$8,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,274.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 34c | 13,000$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.74 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…48d8backed Yes | 8c | 12,934$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…6895backed Yes | 39c | 12,704$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…f351backed No | 71c | 12,101$8,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…7e10backed Yes | 76c | 11,961$9,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,090.77 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 9c | 11,883$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.06 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 27c | 11,813$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.39 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked No | 69c | 11,695$8,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.66 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 61c | 11,025$6,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.26 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Yes | 19c | 10,674$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.76 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed No | 35c | 10,249$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.57 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 64c | 9,840$6,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 79c | 8,964$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.63 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 32c | 8,963$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.9 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked No | 71c | 8,666$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…f5c0backed No | 39c | 8,398$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.1 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +9.1wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 50c | 8,375$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…1755backed Yes | 67c | 8,207$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520.83 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…191cbacked Yes | 45c | 8,132$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked No | 54c | 8,005$4,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…0737backed No | 51c | 7,795$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…10f7backed Yes | 73c | 7,790$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 41c | 7,722$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,529.79 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 49c | 7,606$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.72 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 52c | 7,600$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.96 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +20.7wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…0fa7backed Yes | 2c | 7,512$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 47c | 7,395$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 76c | 7,216$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.25 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16eb…8b06backed Yes | 40c | 7,096$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 64c | 6,999$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.49 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed No | 56c | 6,859$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 62c | 6,856$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.84 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…d325backed No | 64c | 6,728$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.58 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 70c | 6,580$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.09 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…e48fbacked Yes | 46c | 6,524$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.06 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 25c | 6,242$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.05 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 10c | 6,181$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.17 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…8fd8backed No | 61c | 5,929$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d81…5c1ebacked Yes | 18c | 5,660$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes | 39c | 5,600$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.21 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…d87cbacked Yes | 49c | 5,504$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.02 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…a94bbacked No | 74c | 5,394$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 23c | 5,267$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.17 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…99f9backed Yes | 64c | 5,234$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 48c | 5,223$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.51 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 41c | 5,118$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.17 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 65c | 5,007$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.32 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…ac7cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,994$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 16c | 4,987$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.94 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 39c | 4,918$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.07 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…9e90backed No | 77c | 4,916$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.56 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 73c | 4,881$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.42 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 80c | 4,750$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.32 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…73dabacked Yes | 28c | 4,717$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.59 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…502dbacked Yes | 61c | 4,705$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 43c | 4,673$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.28 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…e3e6backed Yes | 11c | 4,666$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 39c | 4,571$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.98 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 74c | 4,509$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.31 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -14.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked No | 78c | 4,481$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.58 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 58c | 4,454$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.08 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…324ebacked Yes | 69c | 4,375$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.07 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 12c | 4,368$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.75 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…7484backed Yes | 47c | 4,346$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…5e5abacked Yes | 7c | 4,317$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,315$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.41 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 54c | 4,294$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?this page
- Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will France strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.