Middle East · resolved market
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedad4f6a4d9d65327a8bcb6709b1109bc15031b132e94f2512420c3f1d646db4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 13,896$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.29 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 7c | 10,381$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.5 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…e48fbacked Yes | 5c | 10,018$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 8,789$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.72 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 11c | 4,584$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…48d8backed Yes | 2c | 4,357$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 11c | 4,076$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.26 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…07ebbacked Yes | 12c | 3,351$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.16 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,087$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 6c | 2,850$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6a…a192backed Yes | 3c | 2,565$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…bafcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,434$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 78c | 2,325$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,256$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…59a9backed Yes | 10c | 2,081$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 2,059$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,001$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.16 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,973$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,771$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bd…0112backed Yes | 5c | 1,671$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…e6e8backed Yes | 4c | 1,663$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 3c | 1,502$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…b882backed Yes | 3c | 1,390$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 1,360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 78c | 1,054$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…a2f7backed Yes | 4c | 1,047$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf147…9722backed Yes | 13c | 980$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 74c | 957.08$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…66ddbacked Yes | 6c | 940.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 829.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 745.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 5c | 722.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 7c | 719.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 3c | 623.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…faccbacked Yes | 3c | 614.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 6c | 600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…4b79backed Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 7c | 591.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…30d6backed Yes | 7c | 581$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Yes | 15c | 573.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 566.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 564.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0b72backed Yes | 18c | 562.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3132…cae8backed Yes | 19c | 560.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…0867backed Yes | 18c | 556.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…7e6bbacked Yes | 5c | 521$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 4c | 510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 78c | 504.43$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…6d13backed Yes | 11c | 468.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 5c | 467.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…6dc9backed Yes | 4c | 452.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…45a3backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 399.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…aa63backed Yes | 16c | 399.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…ab06backed Yes | 13c | 393.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed Yes | 5c | 380$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…242abacked Yes | 18c | 377.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 3c | 369$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…6c6abacked Yes | 26c | 360.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35ff…18babacked Yes | 4c | 360.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…5df8backed Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 69c | 341.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 319.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 77c | 319$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee78…e16abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681e…5892backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabb…6c95backed Yes | 14c | 279.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 258.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…1780backed Yes | 10c | 243$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd749…9538backed Yes | 10c | 243$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f5…967fbacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 16c | 233.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2c18backed Yes | 4c | 228.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5653…7334backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…2255backed Yes | 11c | 215.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 205.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…09c4backed Yes | 25c | 203.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…b7f6backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…35aabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 11c | 190.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 6c | 186.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -92.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 180.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 24c | 171.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x105f…268bbacked Yes | 10c | 169$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 8c | 151.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…ac75backed Yes | 20c | 147.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…ad22backed Yes | 14c | 142.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f5…ac95backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…66e6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa317…b797backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 13c | 120.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 10c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?this page
- Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will France strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No won
- Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.