TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9c9…7e10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$991.98
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$465
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.99
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$589.98
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.34
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$385.97
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,932.64
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Perugia: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.72
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+309.2%+$4,300.42
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$452
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,752Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$1,504.71
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$715
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+215.9%+$647.67
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$131.76
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$311.2
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$91.9
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.8
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$212.62
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.61
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.36
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.97
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.79
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.62
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+363.3%+$111.64
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27%+$5.61
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+118%+$434.63
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,772Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$1,235.26
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$313.24
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.43
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.27
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.23
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$701.61
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.71
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$143.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$273.35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.91
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.84
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.7
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,090.77
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,284.66
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$238.77
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.99
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.05
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.54
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,865.3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.24
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$170.1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,328.74
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.92
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$204
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$102.83
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.1
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$106.8
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$775.52
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.6%+$272.28
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,178.4
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.1
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.99
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.75
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.65
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+900%+$367.03
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$319.99
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$539.99
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.04
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$628
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,510.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,510.2%+$821.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,597Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+34%+$543.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google reach $335 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.