TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Perugia: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniel Merida Aguilarof Gianluca Cadenasso, Daniel Merida Aguilar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fa0…be6dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso23c26,293$6,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,047.445536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Merida Aguilar77c18,921$14,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.148,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e9…c37cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso0c5,052$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar77c4,960$3,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.026,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Daniel Merida Aguilar60c1,828$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.747256.9%41 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Gianluca Cadenasso28c1,638$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8237738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x548a…e58abacked Gianluca Cadenasso1c1,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+206.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Gianluca Cadenasso25c1,378$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.43,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Daniel Merida Aguilar73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gianluca Cadenasso24c1,329$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Gianluca Cadenasso24c1,283$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1125240.5%102 W · 150 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…7e10backed Gianluca Cadenasso19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904744.7%21 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c999.98$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Daniel Merida Aguilar58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0750458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c860.46$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3926545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar58c844.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.893,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gianluca Cadenasso21c681.71$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.18,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Daniel Merida Aguilar65c532.12$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3846453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Daniel Merida Aguilar63c530.26$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19721955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afc…5d32backed Daniel Merida Aguilar77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.484864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Daniel Merida Aguilar59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar60c495.17$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.071,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso36c463$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.683,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Gianluca Cadenasso37c446.8$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3215248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar79c413.43$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.924,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Daniel Merida Aguilar77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Gianluca Cadenasso40c393.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5473748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c387.8$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0658745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c369.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.064,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Daniel Merida Aguilar77c322.04$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.575,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Merida Aguilar76c321.64$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.228,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Daniel Merida Aguilar80c313.12$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1236554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Gianluca Cadenasso41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc217…8701backed Daniel Merida Aguilar59c288.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.143060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Daniel Merida Aguilar77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7468157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Gianluca Cadenasso24c254.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.252,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c244.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Daniel Merida Aguilar75c228.21$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2119167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso42c208$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.367,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Gianluca Cadenasso35c195.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Daniel Merida Aguilar60c193.1$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.140554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar75c186.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Gianluca Cadenasso26c180$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Gianluca Cadenasso40c162.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Gianluca Cadenasso24c161$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.642,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Gianluca Cadenasso37c146$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0218850%94 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Gianluca Cadenasso35c141.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe201…9c49backed Gianluca Cadenasso31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Gianluca Cadenasso43c111.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1351644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c107.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4543448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Gianluca Cadenasso22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-85.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Daniel Merida Aguilar79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2173458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Gianluca Cadenasso43c95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8558453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar68c92.56$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.81,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Daniel Merida Aguilar59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7550958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar61c81.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6864537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Merida Aguilar78c64.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.366,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca94…838fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar60c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.412058.3%70 W · 50 L+14.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso38c50.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0485637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ece…3b9bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.515966%105 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Gianluca Cadenasso40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked Gianluca Cadenasso22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127530.2%83 W · 192 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar71c45.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c39.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso40c38.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4547854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c37.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8133462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4816358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Daniel Merida Aguilar58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4820158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Daniel Merida Aguilar58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4830436.8%112 W · 192 L-19.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4888560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9437158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Gianluca Cadenasso43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.639443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar77c29.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar76c27.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6466834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Merida Aguilar58c26.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.317,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Daniel Merida Aguilar60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Daniel Merida Aguilar64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar59c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.072,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar73c24.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.524531.1%14 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c24.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.277,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar77c17.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0978350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.