Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cefd4845d4d8f582ca4db9b0f5bf04def5ffa20ffd9cf9e44f1e022ac058652

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,646 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	4c	13,600$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.41	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	5c	5,149$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.47	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…7e10backed Yes	5c	3,681$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.04	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	1c	2,700$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ad…a26ebacked Yes	2c	2,361$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.54	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes	5c	2,271$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.54	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes	4c	2,015$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.44	191	20.9%40 W · 151 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	41.1%39 W · 56 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	5c	1,730$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.65	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Yes	1c	1,715$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	103	50.5%52 W · 51 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes	4c	1,713$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.52	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	18.6%32 W · 140 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf52…14c5backed Yes	1c	1,350$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes	1c	1,050$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb458…abc4backed Yes	6c	1,033$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes	5c	866.82$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Yes	4c	647.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes	3c	619.2$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	189	43.4%82 W · 107 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes	2c	591.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes	4c	486.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	103	11.7%12 W · 91 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	3c	422$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0807…443abacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…6cfcbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked Yes	5c	388.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes	5c	371.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	165	9.7%16 W · 149 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes	7c	352.44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	4c	346.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0975…bd23backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc563…46adbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8169…444bbacked Yes	5c	280$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes	9c	278.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83f9…d5f3backed Yes	4c	272.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ab…9581backed Yes	5c	252.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb29c…8acabacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-6.2wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x543a…3813backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?this page
Will Colombia vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?No won
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event