Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3240c1a99c3d532a3cde30fc4d20360bece56c5a94288222fceb28e393ce212f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 13,263$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.76 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 10c | 4,939$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.89 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 5c | 2,589$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,374$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 8c | 2,124$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 2c | 1,814$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 15c | 1,731$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.63 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,609$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 4c | 1,320$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Yes | 8c | 1,073$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 962$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 9c | 799.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 17c | 735$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 17c | 565.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0807…443abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 11c | 499.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 10c | 478.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…97e6backed Yes | 6c | 417.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…1497backed Yes | 14c | 370.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 369.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 10c | 360.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…21b7backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb458…abc4backed Yes | 12c | 335.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 10c | 314.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 11c | 297.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 12c | 283.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 11c | 272.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 8c | 204$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609f…ada6backed Yes | 10c | 202.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 8c | 199.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 11c | 183.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 10c | 168.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 10c | 168.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…5922backed Yes | 8c | 141.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Yes | 10c | 133.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 10c | 119.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…a865backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…8b16backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?this page
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01?Yes won
- Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.