World Politics · resolved market
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,601,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,416,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,601,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 17,312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Yes | 27c | 523,123$141,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,323.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 1c | 481,344$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +472.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 405,445$307,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,895.65 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…4589backed No | 79c | 363,146$287,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,026.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 79c | 276,904$217,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,182.33 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b3…3dc7backed Yes | 1c | 273,146$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 219,603$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.97 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed Yes | 3c | 216,558$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…4d49backed Yes | 27c | 215,346$57,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,250.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 193,304$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.15 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 25c | 187,812$46,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,387.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…e059backed Yes | 6c | 163,733$9,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,427.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd96…eec0backed Yes | 28c | 135,065$37,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,378.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Yes | 12c | 134,663$16,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,521.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…5348backed Yes | 6c | 124,371$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…1e26backed Yes | 21c | 121,647$25,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,457.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…e8c7backed Yes | 0c | 119,974$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 19c | 118,254$22,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,949.98 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 114,796$12,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,645.46 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…67b6backed Yes | 6c | 113,674$7,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,010 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 1c | 113,423$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…dcc3backed Yes | 6c | 110,857$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4593…8d75backed Yes | 11c | 110,578$12,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,420.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 68c | 106,769$72,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,377.53 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…49c4backed Yes | 38c | 106,305$40,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,655.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 33c | 102,611$34,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,083.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 27c | 102,514$27,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,405.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -81%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 3c | 100,241$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.18 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…d6ddbacked Yes | 0c | 99,377$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…5e63backed Yes | 5c | 95,467$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 12c | 93,351$11,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,288.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 25c | 87,828$21,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,996.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…35ecbacked Yes | 6c | 86,449$5,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 23c | 86,071$19,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,484.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e069backed Yes | 6c | 85,727$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 18c | 85,621$15,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,618.5 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…6d72backed Yes | 3c | 84,660$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…47a2backed No | 61c | 84,042$51,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,447.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 82,840$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 37c | 82,205$30,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,045.41 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7697…1273backed Yes | 12c | 81,473$9,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,957.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…86cfbacked Yes | 1c | 78,614$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…9906backed Yes | 1c | 77,250$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…a5f4backed Yes | 4c | 76,901$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…06d5backed Yes | 10c | 76,472$7,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…d2a0backed Yes | 17c | 74,916$12,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,604.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…196abacked Yes | 23c | 74,854$17,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,082.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…c046backed Yes | 2c | 74,843$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Yes | 29c | 73,826$21,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,327.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…cd6fbacked Yes | 18c | 72,944$12,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,946.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 76c | 69,462$52,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,995.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…cd62backed Yes | 22c | 67,842$15,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,098.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 63,619$43,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,936.35 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…834cbacked Yes | 0c | 63,441$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…661dbacked Yes | 17c | 61,607$10,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,412.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 59c | 60,886$36,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,152.48 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…2df6backed Yes | 22c | 59,529$13,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,293.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes | 20c | 58,357$11,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,595.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9496…f0e2backed Yes | 8c | 57,445$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3645…9bd3backed Yes | 20c | 56,253$11,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,022.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 19c | 56,231$10,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,936.17 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…8b3bbacked Yes | 1c | 53,746$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 26c | 53,415$13,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,811.77 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed No | 79c | 50,979$40,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,721.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…264fbacked Yes | 6c | 50,294$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…2b80backed Yes | 2c | 49,769$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…53f9backed Yes | 5c | 49,496$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…7a3fbacked Yes | 23c | 48,237$10,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,988.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 21c | 47,773$10,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,041.64 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…d3e0backed Yes | 21c | 47,735$10,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,061.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 47,528$37,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,751.11 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…4601backed Yes | 8c | 47,038$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…7888backed Yes | 17c | 46,462$7,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,737.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 72c | 46,419$33,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,973.47 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 13c | 46,221$5,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.31 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…aabbbacked Yes | 27c | 45,976$12,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,605.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 26c | 45,588$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…073bbacked Yes | 15c | 45,010$6,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,658.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…df02backed Yes | 19c | 44,617$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…2e4fbacked Yes | 23c | 44,567$10,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,087.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…251ebacked Yes | 12c | 44,296$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 24c | 44,255$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,409.95 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…63d2backed Yes | 36c | 44,153$15,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,804.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed Yes | 21c | 43,746$9,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,109.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…e5e4backed Yes | 16c | 42,896$6,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,767.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…bad0backed Yes | 25c | 42,298$10,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,397.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 17c | 41,949$7,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,136.7 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…6554backed Yes | 8c | 41,730$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…a466backed Yes | 14c | 41,590$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…4cdebacked Yes | 12c | 40,441$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…c5f0backed Yes | 7c | 40,209$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a20…7478backed Yes | 4c | 40,003$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacd…c1ebbacked Yes | 3c | 39,945$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…bfd6backed Yes | 3c | 39,843$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed Yes | 8c | 39,630$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…c0f7backed Yes | 11c | 38,690$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 3c | 38,420$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.73 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…9b8dbacked Yes | 13c | 37,961$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed Yes | 7c | 36,784$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…411ebacked Yes | 3c | 35,956$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.