TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75c2…e8c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$190
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$40
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162.87
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$389.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.99
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.68
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+40.6%+$38.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.