TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,416,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,678,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,416,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 807 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Dplus KIA47c144,587$68,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,493.3122451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed T155c50,000$27,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,491.578648.8%42 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T155c35,090$19,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,299.4996048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…f745backed Dplus KIA47c33,944$15,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,029.629955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf485…03aebacked T146c27,360$12,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,669.23030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed T149c24,992$12,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,349.6389943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Dplus KIA66c23,942$15,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,089.7625546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed T148c23,539$11,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,351.7712160.3%73 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked T134c21,093$7,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,112.7225944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfedc…d50bbacked T152c20,085$10,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,444.151040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed T153c19,125$10,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,136.252958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed T157c15,669$8,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,925.1413061.5%80 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Dplus KIA47c15,000$7,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,951.8785442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Dplus KIA49c15,000$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,720.671,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed T153c15,000$7,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,934.8815062%93 W · 57 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA48c14,999$7,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,847.931,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Dplus KIA47c13,000$6,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,889.966844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Dplus KIA49c12,560$6,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,368.8376142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Dplus KIA51c12,549$6,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,120.1195041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed T136c12,391$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.731,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed T155c12,378$6,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,847.5381143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked T146c12,000$5,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,48021859.6%130 W · 88 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Dplus KIA54c11,762$6,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,404.9940651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked T153c11,699$6,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,151.743745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Dplus KIA44c11,400$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,383.9923445.7%107 W · 127 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed T112c10,584$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.381,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dplus KIA47c10,177$4,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.411,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Dplus KIA45c10,027$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,527.3120146.8%94 W · 107 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T153c9,344$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,935.082,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed T159c9,059$5,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,371.8545248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2383…072fbacked T156c9,001$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.446744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed T134c8,888$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.9251044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…4f8abacked T156c8,658$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.512250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd1…42d2backed Dplus KIA62c8,303$5,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.416243.5%27 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Dplus KIA43c8,163$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,652.7918429.9%55 W · 129 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA44c7,737$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,332.691,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Dplus KIA69c7,579$5,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.3248157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dplus KIA58c7,213$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.511,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked T152c7,004$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,610.6736155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed T153c6,813$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.2148149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed Dplus KIA58c6,662$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.3234658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed T144c6,512$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.791,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked T132c6,500$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.822,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed T138c6,085$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.539162.7%245 W · 146 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45d…230dbacked Dplus KIA60c6,027$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed T154c6,005$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.9655844.6%249 W · 309 L-27.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b1…a837backed T152c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T152c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked T153c5,849$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10026549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Dplus KIA53c5,660$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.3451348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T152c5,555$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.61,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed T120c5,476$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.9969741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Dplus KIA48c5,474$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.4925244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked T149c5,385$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.866845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Dplus KIA75c5,188$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.7235058.6%205 W · 145 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ad…a859backed T152c5,117$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.946170.5%43 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed T11c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dplus KIA47c5,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.971,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Dplus KIA67c4,932$3,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.6121056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked Dplus KIA46c4,900$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.0333857.7%195 W · 143 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Dplus KIA44c4,734$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.251,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Dplus KIA71c4,700$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.1344846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed T153c4,681$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48113947.5%66 W · 73 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked T147c4,676$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.8222048.2%106 W · 114 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Dplus KIA54c4,619$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.931,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Dplus KIA54c4,453$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.851,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac3…6ec2backed Dplus KIA48c4,282$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.1411856.8%67 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed T153c4,246$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.1616954.4%92 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Dplus KIA50c4,020$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.1857957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked T150c3,755$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.5957246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked T142c3,581$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.259435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Dplus KIA45c3,514$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9932150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Dplus KIA48c3,503$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.5564553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1850…8903backed T158c3,397$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9704348.8%21 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick65cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Dplus KIA45c3,361$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.3632145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked T155c3,176$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.0229236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Dplus KIA44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Dplus KIA47c2,922$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.341,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed T152c2,826$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.7931953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed T112c2,800$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34518132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed T144c2,800$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23385836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked T153c2,783$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.266843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0805…1d14backed T123c2,750$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.2837252.2%194 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked T113c2,692$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.441,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Dplus KIA43c2,668$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.764355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed T138c2,583$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.3834255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6da…fb9abacked T157c2,554$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Dplus KIA44c2,505$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.24660.9%28 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x694d…e762backed T139c2,367$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.032759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9c…704ebacked Dplus KIA64c2,354$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.225865.5%38 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dplus KIA46c2,276$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.21,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Dplus KIA44c2,276$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.543545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked T155c2,245$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.756848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed T134c2,240$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.8942050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed T157c2,200$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25484050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581a…e40dbacked Dplus KIA48c2,171$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.177354.8%40 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Dplus KIA43c2,149$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.061,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked T150c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05087844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Dplus KIA59c2,042$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.2230554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Dplus KIA55c2,025$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.112,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.