Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ed0ca84c210f68462c37711f95714d49e0f5e8ad4fc2efab91324628344f3b0

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Dplus KIAof T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd27c…c081backed Dplus KIA	67c	4,762$3,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,571.47	189	71.4%135 W · 54 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd75f…ddcbbacked T1	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Dplus KIA	44c	2,948$1,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.29	379	48.3%183 W · 196 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked T1	32c	2,130$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.65	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed T1	8c	1,225$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.15	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…30c1backed T1	33c	1,212$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed T1	33c	1,212$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T1	52c	1,196$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.66	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T1	56c	1,105$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.91	960	48.8%468 W · 492 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed T1	33c	1,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Dplus KIA	60c	919.23$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.41	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Dplus KIA	67c	784.34$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.83	470	47.4%223 W · 247 L	+24.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked T1	32c	780.36$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.51	639	44.6%285 W · 354 L	-18.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked Dplus KIA	68c	763.07$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.18	141	60.3%85 W · 56 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Dplus KIA	52c	736.26$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.02	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Dplus KIA	68c	653.28$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.05	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa11…e3c0backed T1	33c	472.34$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.28	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Dplus KIA	44c	395.2$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.31	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Dplus KIA	69c	361.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.43	650	63.2%411 W · 239 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed T1	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	188	49.5%93 W · 95 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c3…1331backed Dplus KIA	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	185	53%98 W · 87 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed T1	41c	288.29$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.43	527	50.5%266 W · 261 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Dplus KIA	67c	282.12$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.1	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T1	57c	262.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	436	40.6%177 W · 259 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed T1	33c	244.82$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.79	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked T1	33c	242.76$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.06	760	47%357 W · 403 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Dplus KIA	40c	239$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.54	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59d5…d7a3backed T1	42c	230$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.62	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked T1	33c	199.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	420	49.3%207 W · 213 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d32…9973backed T1	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dplus KIA	66c	150.88$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.3	294	47.6%140 W · 154 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked T1	34c	150.88$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	106	39.6%42 W · 64 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Dplus KIA	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	297	61.6%183 W · 114 L	-12.0wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed T1	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed T1	33c	118.18$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked T1	30c	113.97$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.19	348	49.1%171 W · 177 L	+11.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed T1	32c	104$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked T1	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,024	45%461 W · 563 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked T1	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked T1	57c	99.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	777	41.7%324 W · 453 L	-27.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe1f…c18fbacked Dplus KIA	68c	99.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd16…502ebacked Dplus KIA	68c	95.36$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.52	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked T1	53c	94.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8838…b9febacked T1	32c	93.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed T1	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed T1	46c	87.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	484	38%184 W · 300 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Dplus KIA	68c	84.78$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.13	447	45.2%202 W · 245 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Dplus KIA	64c	84$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.29	231	36.4%84 W · 147 L	-13.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked T1	33c	78$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	358	48.9%175 W · 183 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0637…1636backed T1	33c	75.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Dplus KIA	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	61cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Dplus KIA	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	139	64%89 W · 50 L	+12.2wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb3e…db66backed Dplus KIA	67c	62.16$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.51	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed T1	51c	61.73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	644	43%277 W · 367 L	-27.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Dplus KIA	67c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	260	48.8%127 W · 133 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Dplus KIA	68c	58.82$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	149	60.4%90 W · 59 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked Dplus KIA	45c	54$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed T1	38c	52.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	381	44.6%170 W · 211 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked Dplus KIA	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1a…0db5backed Dplus KIA	67c	41.76$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.86	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdfb…9680backed Dplus KIA	68c	41.18$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.18	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked T1	33c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…d80dbacked Dplus KIA	72c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Dplus KIA	74c	32.74$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.51	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed T1	33c	32.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	1,113	39%434 W · 679 L	-44.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Dplus KIA	39c	32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.47	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+287.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7ff…a74cbacked Dplus KIA	59c	31.83$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.03	175	52.6%92 W · 83 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Dplus KIA	65c	31.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	406	37.7%153 W · 253 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…be17backed T1	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Dplus KIA	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	602	43.4%261 W · 341 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…dcb5backed Dplus KIA	58c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Dplus KIA	60c	27.58$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	305	43%131 W · 174 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed T1	55c	23.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	520	45%234 W · 286 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Dplus KIA	68c	22.06$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.06	232	64.2%149 W · 83 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Dplus KIA	53c	21.5$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.18	556	28.6%159 W · 397 L	-31.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Dplus KIA	49c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Dplus KIA	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	793	45.4%360 W · 433 L	-22.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bc…1909backed T1	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-4.9wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dplus KIA	51c	19.73$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.72	187	38.5%72 W · 115 L	-13.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…be3fbacked T1	54c	19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-3.0wins	-0.43per pick	57cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8265…5526backed Dplus KIA	69c	14.78$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.58	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupDplus KIA won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event