Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dc701e79eeaf9c81abfc0b03ec7d6c1e61d375529124c4741677398c91799ac

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,399 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7853…2d49backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c75…227fbacked Under	53c	748.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	49c	678$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.78	1,092	52.4%572 W · 520 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	49c	600$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306	541	34.8%188 W · 353 L	-16.9wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	51c	532.71$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.2	2,923	44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L	-91.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under	51c	499.99$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	49c	472.94$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.2	633	44.5%282 W · 351 L	-18.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	71c	454.25$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.54	972	54.3%528 W · 444 L	+46.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under	47c	403.46$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.87	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Over	46c	300$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-14.1wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	124	36.3%45 W · 79 L	-16.3wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under	51c	296.47$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	1,381	45.1%623 W · 758 L	-12.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	268.77$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.88	2,497	39.9%996 W · 1,501 L	-75.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ce…f916backed Over	50c	253.09$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.55	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	68c	246.86$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.85	1,096	38.9%426 W · 670 L	-47.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over	49c	244.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.9	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	210.58$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.08	293	47.8%140 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under	51c	205.73$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.92	273	46.9%128 W · 145 L	-14.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b25…edc5backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	461	48.8%225 W · 236 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over	41c	169.09$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.76	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under	51c	156$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.56	194	37.6%73 W · 121 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under	51c	152.49$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.77	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	43c	139.42$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.85	186	39.2%73 W · 113 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	27c	137.61$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	1,459	43.3%632 W · 827 L	-33.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79bf…6f87backed Under	61c	130.87$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.37per pick	50cpaid	-76%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Over	50c	124$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	410	60.5%248 W · 162 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under	21c	115.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.84	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Over	49c	103$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	109	50.5%55 W · 54 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	36c	98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	357	44.5%159 W · 198 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	43c	97.33$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.85	300	46%138 W · 162 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…d2babacked Over	50c	96.6$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under	53c	85.58$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.36	445	44.9%200 W · 245 L	-14.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under	50c	83.64$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.12	527	50.5%266 W · 261 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	71c	83$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.22	2,672	35.7%954 W · 1,718 L	-153.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under	50c	82.2$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked Under	56c	76$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.56	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	50c	74.47$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.24	445	38.2%170 W · 275 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8038…9547backed Over	49c	69.25$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.45	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3637…8663backed Over	49c	67.35$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.35	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed Over	63c	63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	682	53.5%365 W · 317 L	-21.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c55…e0f8backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under	51c	46.07$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	281	49.8%140 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32e2…af02backed Over	49c	40.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	51c	40.82$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.82	1,300	49.2%639 W · 661 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb354…8749backed Over	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Over	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	48c	39.32$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	1,133	31.1%352 W · 781 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	50c	37.04$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.52	1,587	43.8%695 W · 892 L	-73.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d7b…332dbacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	146	34.2%50 W · 96 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over	54c	28.79$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.23	1,168	66.1%772 W · 396 L	+69.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over	50c	28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	539	55.1%297 W · 242 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Under	36c	27.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	254	36.6%93 W · 161 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under	54c	25.15$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	379	48.3%183 W · 196 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	62c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.44	1,349	31.1%420 W · 929 L	-128.5wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x468b…68a5backed Over	62c	24.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.42	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	42c	24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	3,119	33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L	-151.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under	51c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over	49c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Over	49c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e0…cc64backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-4.8wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-45%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupDplus KIA won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event