TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$747,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$904,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf485…03aebacked Dplus KIA25c35,718$8,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,932.323030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed Dplus KIA0c30,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Dplus KIA39c22,664$8,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,828.325244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c4…f745backed Dplus KIA56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.999955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed T155c20,000$10,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,009.548648.8%42 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA43c17,376$7,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,471.791,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x017b…1ef4backed Dplus KIA5c13,332$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3815429.9%46 W · 108 L+15.4wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+81.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Dplus KIA24c13,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9521859.6%130 W · 88 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Dplus KIA56c11,468$6,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,475.5415062%93 W · 57 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Dplus KIA42c11,292$4,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,742.461,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed T170c10,226$7,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.648149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T168c10,000$6,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,174.1191854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Dplus KIA28c10,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85048533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Dplus KIA0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Dplus KIA30c10,000$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.8455639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked T156c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.965250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T156c10,000$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.91,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed T160c8,848$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.0916058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed T158c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.6957957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dplus KIA36c8,172$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.132,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Dplus KIA44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52020748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed T169c7,251$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.0121056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T156c7,207$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.891,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked T157c7,079$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.55928.8%17 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked T155c6,900$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.1836155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Dplus KIA44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.9732150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed T143c5,969$2,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,411.0681143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked T170c5,615$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.931,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked T157c5,566$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.6417852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Dplus KIA20c5,500$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.999535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed T154c5,487$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.145148.1%217 W · 234 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed Dplus KIA2c5,300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11518132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked Dplus KIA4c5,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9925944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8ad…a859backed T156c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.996170.5%43 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked T150c4,809$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.626549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Dplus KIA51c4,444$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.0351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked T159c4,435$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.131,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd1…42d2backed T177c3,789$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.76243.5%27 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Dplus KIA4c3,708$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3638624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Dplus KIA32c3,666$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.6685836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed T157c3,599$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.746050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0c…6ca7backed T157c3,536$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.67054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked T149c3,416$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.7135659%210 W · 146 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e7…dc64backed Dplus KIA2c3,350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567910.1%8 W · 71 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Dplus KIA45c3,345$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.3916954.4%92 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed T152c3,100$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.626835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked T170c3,061$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.4666845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Dplus KIA43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2901,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50fa…907fbacked Dplus KIA5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010023%23 W · 77 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked T155c2,942$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.961,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked T142c2,576$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.8912132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Dplus KIA44c2,503$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.3220544.4%91 W · 114 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed T179c2,489$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.631,53654.8%842 W · 694 L+75.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf51f…1093backed Dplus KIA13c2,394$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006744.8%30 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked T151c2,337$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.611753%62 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7cc…644ebacked Dplus KIA37c2,328$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.281650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa08f…745bbacked Dplus KIA44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked T173c2,205$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.1533457.8%193 W · 141 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dplus KIA33c2,098$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.5363344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Dplus KIA47c2,053$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.0628847.9%138 W · 150 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Dplus KIA44c2,025$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dplus KIA43c2,007$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.1529347.8%140 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked Dplus KIA5c2,000$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.267054.3%38 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a23…3253backed T157c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86010557.1%60 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Dplus KIA14c2,000$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28215435.1%54 W · 100 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99ef…ba25backed Dplus KIA2c2,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.117843.6%34 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed T156c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked T155c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9748844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed Dplus KIA1c1,999$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9735647.5%169 W · 187 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39da…f67fbacked Dplus KIA2c1,997$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88666.1%4 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Dplus KIA19c1,960$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.5985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Dplus KIA5c1,951$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.715335.3%54 W · 99 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Dplus KIA2c1,859$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.391,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Dplus KIA54c1,739$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.4139447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Dplus KIA2c1,734$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.410924.8%27 W · 82 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Dplus KIA1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA16c1,669$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.162,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked T167c1,602$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.611662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Dplus KIA44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dplus KIA43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dplus KIA31c1,500$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.462,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Dplus KIA43c1,495$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.8520047%94 W · 106 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked T167c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.6114866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed Dplus KIA22c1,440$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8221350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed T156c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6161,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked T156c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6164660.9%28 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA43c1,355$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.651,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed T144c1,347$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.071,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked T177c1,315$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0530554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Dplus KIA44c1,300$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57232145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Dplus KIA11c1,276$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.621,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x194a…f98abacked T157c1,267$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…0b71backed Dplus KIA41c1,205$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180e…b3a6backed Dplus KIA44c1,205$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2141…6b5ebacked Dplus KIA3c1,200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211932.8%39 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed T153c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9828448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Dplus KIA43c1,146$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.11,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dplus KIA52c1,124$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.571,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed T152c1,095$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.151,04946%483 W · 566 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Dplus KIA45c1,090$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5319748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.