TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d32…9973

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4020%8 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.32
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.84
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.59
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+113.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.