Fifa International · resolved market
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83565923775e47ac40a1d63bdcbf0ed18edf72e17a360c58378e730fcf025122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Yes | 22c | 42,273$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,341.57 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 31,931$24,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,935.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 3,076$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.9 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 76c | 2,224$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.86 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 21c | 1,310$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 1,108$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…3f00backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 79c | 999.97$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 620$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 379.63$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Yes | 19c | 366.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…9d8fbacked Yes | 19c | 316.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 79c | 277.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 275.68$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 22c | 273.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf150…b6ffbacked Yes | 21c | 266.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 13c | 255$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…0329backed Yes | 23c | 220.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 20c | 200.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 166$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…9973backed Yes | 19c | 154$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 120.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…95d3backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…fe73backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 80c | 116.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 80c | 112$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…5f8bbacked Yes | 15c | 100.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…207ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…26e6backed Yes | 16c | 93.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…4d66backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 82.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…182dbacked Yes | 20c | 78.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…3400backed No | 80c | 77.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…76c9backed Yes | 20c | 75.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…cd8cbacked Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…cecabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…9175backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 78c | 41.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 18.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shotsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 5+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.