Fifa International · resolved market
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0500780eb212149857621e6f1a99ed014f5a30de8fcadb40f52013d27ce03da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1a2…6883backed Yes | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 26c | 719.84$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 24c | 374.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…88fbbacked Yes | 76c | 207.24$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…edebbacked No | 24c | 189.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…65ccbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Yes | 77c | 110.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 28c | 56.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Yes | 72c | 52.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed Yes | 79c | 51.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 26c | 43.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbec…8f61backed Yes | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed Yes | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…bcbdbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shotsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 5+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.