Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb05a27db15077f7cd797cf80f5ef2a3ac6b4fc9a46f4241ed21ca6a8fe1e49b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,044 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafac…8730backed Yes	12c	4,167$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	12c	1,850$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa496…0f5abacked Yes	12c	756.5$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.78	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes	11c	720.19$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.22	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes	11c	519.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7509…645fbacked Yes	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed Yes	12c	211.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.43	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	12c	164.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	13c	162.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	12c	128.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5eb…d4e0backed Yes	12c	116.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x556f…f4e4backed Yes	13c	107.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes	13c	104.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	12c	102.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes	12c	100.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	77	35.1%27 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	166	29.5%49 W · 117 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes	12c	98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	13c	77.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event