Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44dda4cddbbb995cbde125b4548c9294ca008abf4ab62150d5f30baf095ad5cc

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,484 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	12c	805.1$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.61	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	1.6%1 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	12c	755.23$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.63	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes	9c	688$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.92	97	27.8%27 W · 70 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	11c	568.92$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a2…b64ebacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x364f…1515backed Yes	8c	333$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3554…d825backed Yes	31c	327.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966f…5cdcbacked Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf799…90dcbacked Yes	11c	220$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	12c	199.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	12c	164.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	12c	140$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…6525backed Yes	10c	122.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9146…2813backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	36.4%63 W · 110 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	166	29.5%49 W · 117 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked No	21c	62.78$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.6	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+7.4wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+389%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event