Fifa International · resolved market
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf62c9533fc1a05eb816e306c74ee9c4d883d024bf469fd463143082ac3993e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 47c | 3,642$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.72 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…e0dabacked Yes | 48c | 2,150$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…17dbbacked Yes | 48c | 2,150$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…5fefbacked No | 52c | 2,150$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…1784backed No | 52c | 2,150$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 54c | 1,868$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.71 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.21 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,435$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 53c | 1,176$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 46c | 1,011$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.39 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 50c | 898.16$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.09 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 543.59$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.41 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 57c | 529.84$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 54c | 498.88$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 48c | 491$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 47c | 490.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.02 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 59c | 214$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 53c | 183.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…cce4backed Yes | 40c | 177.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…6f86backed No | 61c | 160$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…e020backed Yes | 59c | 146$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 139.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 54c | 138.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…78febacked No | 57c | 117.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…0ff4backed Yes | 49c | 102.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…1c0dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 97.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 70.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…3348backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…98acbacked Yes | 48c | 62.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 54c | 56.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d5…880abacked Yes | 41c | 49.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 49c | 39.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…00cfbacked Yes | 48c | 34.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…b626backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 31.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…40d1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…a787backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 55c | 23.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 54c | 20.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…897ebacked No | 54c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c08…9d34backed No | 61c | 20.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abc…ec69backed No | 55c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…34d2backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked No | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shotsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 5+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.