Fifa International · resolved market
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a793ec3d70c3d4ce5abbfc475884c60f46ae420736df143f67f26ea8a6d8fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 36c | 3,521$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.42 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 61c | 3,520$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.28 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…0302backed Yes | 63c | 3,160$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 33c | 2,772$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.24 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 43c | 2,080$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.68 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 67c | 1,966$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.1 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 68c | 1,247$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.52 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 43c | 1,026$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.32 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…8266backed Yes | 52c | 669.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 50c | 466.79$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 35c | 438.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.49 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 38c | 315.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Yes | 52c | 204.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Yes | 62c | 203.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 195.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 37c | 190.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…0d36backed Yes | 54c | 184.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…a3f5backed Yes | 55c | 180.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…0cdebacked No | 45c | 169.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 42c | 123.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 75.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…e5b1backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 35c | 70.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d5…880abacked No | 43c | 46.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…ca8bbacked No | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962b…11c3backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 37c | 38.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed No | 46c | 37.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…8762backed Yes | 54c | 33.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…89e4backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…dcf6backed Yes | 55c | 27.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed No | 46c | 24.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 45c | 24.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…a787backed Yes | 53c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…8856backed No | 49c | 20.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…d76cbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 65c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…ddd5backed Yes | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shotsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goalsNo won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsYes won
- Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsYes won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shotsNo won
- Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsYes won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 1+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 2+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Trossard: 5+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.