TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No59c151,112$88,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,468.2174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes41c65,165$26,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,755.8624344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes41c48,780$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes42c35,714$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0003925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No58c15,000$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,25046464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351a…0302backed Yes41c12,195$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c8,480$5,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.461,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c7,769$4,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.192,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No59c7,034$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.8119252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c6,674$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes2c6,312$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1116336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No60c3,401$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.4114325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No61c3,394$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.442166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes41c3,165$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.6810051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes3c2,719$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.93135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No60c2,574$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.232765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No58c2,222$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.1534249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad5…4990backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No59c1,950$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.9897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes42c1,881$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No59c1,607$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8770750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes41c1,398$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.377140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c1,278$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.773,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0114243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.811155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55c5…1710backed Yes41c1,122$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No59c1,100$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4465962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No58c1,057$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.818652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75d5…880abacked No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+52%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4309033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41012875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c999.98$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.991,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed No59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bd…9f69backed Yes41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick16cpaid+196.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Yes41c726.83$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29816544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…8266backed Yes40c696.03$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.954850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes26c680.16$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.951429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe87f…eb3ebacked Yes41c650$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c614.25$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes41c606.16$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24926438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817f…01f4backed Yes41c565.85$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322025%5 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes41c558.15$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8415140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No59c528.33$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.683,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes42c516.67$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21725532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20514116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20523251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes40c499.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9920638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes41c480.6$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19714852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003148.4%15 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Yes31c475.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.55236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes33c460$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes41c458.54$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes23c445.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5717636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No64c403.4$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.962,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb12…70a7backed Yes31c399.44$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.385339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes39c371$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6911348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No59c364$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.241,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes41c363$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.838060%48 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82c…70acbacked Yes42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes41c344$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0425528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes23c337$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3646230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes41c333.04$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.417735.1%27 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.97915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…1464backed Yes42c316.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf688…3791backed Yes41c309.76$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272520%5 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes39c306.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes22c300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6514427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208363.9%53 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d32…9973backed Yes32c288.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.844020%8 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011162.2%69 W · 42 L+16.7wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966f…5cdcbacked Yes39c256.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992650%13 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No79c250.36$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.823366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6128…6847backed Yes40c250.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.53933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Yes42c249.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf7a…222dbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022350.7%113 W · 110 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No62c243$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.192,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No71c241.43$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.842,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011040%44 W · 66 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021243.9%93 W · 119 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.