Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49157e391a94616d376b9a108c1411472ef83a140e1126985f8ce1a9120a538e

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $53,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,593 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes	8c	6,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes	8c	6,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	72	25%18 W · 54 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes	9c	5,605$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.32	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	87	27.6%24 W · 63 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	1,480$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.32	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	8c	1,388$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c38…83d0backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.19per pick	30cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8038…8b15backed Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3554…d825backed Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes	8c	606$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.48	232	27.6%64 W · 168 L	-12.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3f…7ae0backed Yes	8c	591.25$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes	7c	530$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	164	28.7%47 W · 117 L	+9.9wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf49c…964abacked Yes	8c	520.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	7c	506.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.45	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	7c	500$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7d…5e72backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	10.3%6 W · 52 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8df9…468cbacked Yes	6c	476.19$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes	3c	403.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	234	27.8%65 W · 169 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	203	25.6%52 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes	5c	370$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Yes	6c	312.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	11.7%9 W · 68 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…3f68backed Yes	11c	278.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes	6c	263.7$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	77	35.1%27 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…77f0backed Yes	8c	252$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f6…25b6backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	139	32.4%45 W · 94 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9a0…da23backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	13.4%13 W · 84 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0677…2a28backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	35.2%58 W · 107 L	+15.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8693…cc0dbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4562…c8bdbacked Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11bf…b3d4backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…4494backed Yes	8c	130.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+188.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0645…f095backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	40	20%8 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6b…fbdbbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa160…1a8ebacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a3…ea92backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f31…1dadbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcc…ba0cbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c4…50a1backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	62	1.6%1 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 72. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event